Saturday, December 31, 2011

NFL 3rd and 4th Quarter Review: AFC

And you thought the other conference was crazy. Check out the NFC...

AFC East

New England 12-3 (+3) 3rd quarter,(+4) 4th PF 464 PA 321 Div 4-1 Conf 9-2

Analysis: Just another typical year for the Patriots. Sure the Bills got hot early, but they faltered down the stretch. The Jets have been inconsistent, while the Dolphins haven't been in the race all season. Which means there is nothing really new to say about the consistent Pats.

Final Game: BUF (6-9)

What to expect: If Tom Brady can throw 191 yards better than Drew Brees, then Brady will be the all time season leader in passing yards. But with Brees playing on Sunday, don't expect that to happen. Expect the Patriots to avenge their week 3 loss to the Bills (34-31). Because the way of the way the AFC North has gone, the Pats shouldn't rely too heavy on the Ohio teams to take care of business.

NY Jets 8-7 (Even) 3rd & 4th Quarters PF 360 PA 344 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: For a team that is supposed to go to the Super Bowl, this team would be happy just to get in the playoffs. It may have happened before (Rex Ryan's 1st season), but that would be a miracle. And to be even in every quarter of this season but one (quarter 2) has been the story of this year.

Final Game: @MIA (5-10)

What to expect: Miami has had a much better showing in the second half of this season. Which should be enough incentive for the Jets to play for their jobs. That means that they will be fans of Baltimore, Houston and Oakland. I don't think the Jets want to get Tebowed again by Denver. But they need to take care of their own business first.

Buffalo 6-9 (-4) 3rd quarter, (-3) 4th PF 351 PA 385 Div 1-4 Conf 4-7

Analysis: Ever since the Bills' first win in Toronto, they haven't been the same since. During their 7 game skid, the Bills lost by an average of over 16 points, before knocking off the Broncos by 26. Maybe it wasn't a lack of hustle, but a lack of depth that hurt them as the team has suffered some devastating injuries.

Final Game: @NE (12-3)

What to expect: Sadly, we'll have to wait for next year for the Bills to end their playoff drought. But if there's one good thing that can be taken out of this bad season, they finally got some jerseys to be proud of.

Miami 5-10 (+3) 3rd quarter,(Even) 4th PF 310 PA 296 Div 2-3 Conf 4-7

Analysis: As expected, once the Phins lost their 9th game, Tony Sparano would no longer be head coach. While the future maybe murky, the season can end on a happy note if they can knock off the Jets. You'd feel the same way too if you couldn't win in the first half.

Final Game: NYJ (8-7)

What to expect: Expect this game to be a classic battle. With the stakes very high for the Jets, the Dolphins should feel no pressure to perform on Sunday.

AFC North

Baltimore 11-4 (+3) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 354 PA 250 Div 5-0 Conf 8-3

Analysis: The only losses for the Ravens this season have been to sub .500 teams. Their last loss was to Seattle in week 10 (22-17). And now would be the time for them to rise to the occasion. Now more than ever.

Final Game: @CIN (9-6)

What to expect: Talk about pressure, a win or loss could make a big difference. Especially since the Bengals have a lot at stake too. But a win and a Patriots loss will give them home field throughout the playoffs. So yeah, they've got a lot at stake here.

Pittsburgh 11-4 (+1) 3rd quarter, (+3) 4th PF 312 PA 218 Div 3-2 Conf 8-3

Analysis: The second half has looked good so far the Steelers. What makes a championship team is the fact that they can win under any circumstance. But being swept by the Ravens has put them in the predicament they're in now.

Final Game: @CLE (4-11)

What to expect: The Steel Curtain will have to handle their business to at least ensure a possible 1st round bye. Assuming the Ravens and/or Patriots lose. If they both lose, expect the Steelers to have a challenging time holding their own at Heinz Field. The Browns may or may not provide much resistance. But we'll have to wait til Sunday.

Cincinnati 9-6 (Even) 3rd & 4th quarters PF 328 PA 299 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Thanks to a hot start to the 1st half, the Bengals are in prime position to take the final wild card spot. Just as long as they get their win over the Ravens, Paul Brown Stadium could see some more sell outs next season as a result.

Final Game: BAL (11-4)

What to expect: This game should be the Bengals playoff game. Remember, the week 11 contest in Baltimore (31-24 Ravens)? The Bengals were in the game most of that time. Another good reason why people should show up to the stadium on Sunday.

Cleveland 4-11 (-3) 3rd, (-4) 4th PF 209 PA 294 Div 0-5 Conf 3-8

Analysis: It has been a rather forgettable season for the Browns. Peyton Hillis isn't going to crack the 1000 yard mark this season (557 yds on 151 carries). Of course playing against the Steelers may not help his case to get to 600 yards. And with Colt McCoy being out, things have gone from bad to worse.
Final Game: PIT (11-4)

What to expect: If the Steelers get shut out, people who bought a Kia in Medina, OH will get their money back. That might be the day when hell freezes over, pigs fly or the combination of both.

AFC South

Houston 10-5 (+3) 3rd quarter, (Even) 4th PF 359 PA 255 Div 4-1 Conf 8-3

Analysis: With Matt Schaub on IR in week 10, followed by backup Matt Leinart the following week, the Texans have had every reason to call this season a lost cause. Instead, 3rd string T.J. Yates has helped the team clinch a series of firsts. Their 1st division title along with their first 10 win season has made life a lot easier for the Bayou City.

Final Game: TEN (8-7)

What to expect: Win or lose, the Texans aren't going anywhere in terms of playoff position. With Andre Johnson coming back this week, the Titans will have their hands full.

Tennessee 8-7 (Even) 3rd & 4th quarters PF 302 PA 295 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Maybe the Titans don't have a shot at winning the division, but they do have a possible chance at the last wild card spot (somehow). With the Vince Young-Jeff Fisher drama far behind them, the Titans have improved. But their loss to the Bengals in week 9 might be the deal breaker that keeps the Nashville faithful out of the postseason.

Final Game: @HOU (10-5)

What to expect: Of all the teams that need help, it would be the Titans. But this should be a monumental task when they face the Texans at a rowdy Reliant Stadium. Especially in their former hometown.

Jacksonville 4-11 (-2) 3rd quarter, (-3) 4th PF 224 PA 316 Div 2-3 Conf 3-8

Analysis: With Jack Del Rio now gone, things should look up for the Jags. But now with new ownership, the team's future, whether they are in Jacksonville or not, is up in the air. This has been a tale tell sign of what was going to happen ever since the season began.

Final Game: IND (2-13)

What to expect: Who knows what's going to happen now? But one thing is for certain. They will have 3rd place solidified win or lose.
Indianapolis 2-13 (-4) 3rd quarter, (Even) 4th PF 230 PA 411 Div 2-3 Conf 2-9

Analysis: The Colts seemed destined to finish 0-16. But thanks to their win over the Titans in week 15 (27-13), they avoided joining the 2008 Lions. Bet Dan Orlovsky is feeling better about that too.

Final Game: @JAX (4-11)

What to expect: Will Andrew Luck be a Colt? Will Jim Caldwell still be Indy? What about Peyton Manning? So many more questions to come.



AFC West

Denver 8-7 (+4) 3rd quarter, (Even) 4th PF 306 PA 383 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Just as all hope was lost for the Broncos season, they've had a reason to believe lately. Ever since Tim Tebow took over the starting job in week 7, the Broncos have really showed up in the second half of this season. OK, the last two games have been lackluster, but a visit from the Chiefs could help the Broncos get back on track.

Final Game: KC (6-9)

What to expect: Could Kyle Orton's return spell trouble for the Broncos? After the last couple of games Tebow has had, he could play more inspired than ever. Miracles do happen.

Oakland 8-7 (+2) 3rd quarter,(-3) 4th PF 333 PA 395 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: The Raiders looked real good in the 3rd quarter. But when you add new parts to a depleted team, things are bound to go wrong. And as such, they have. Either win the division or miss the postseason. It's that simple.

Final Game: SD (7-8)

What to expect: If I told you the situation again, I would be just repetitive. Same thing goes when it comes to the outcome of the game.

San Diego 7-8 (-4) 3rd quarter, (+3) 4th PF 368 PA 351 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: It's usually in December when the Bolts momentum comes to a crashing halt. But thanks to the lackluster 3rd quarter, there playoff chances a little early this season. And with that said, the future is not looking sunny in San Diego.

Final Game: @OAK (8-7)

What to expect: Norv Turner and A.J. Smith will be looking for new jobs after this campaign. Why not do at the expense of the Raiders. This game could possibly be a lost cause for everyone.

Kansas City 6-9 (-4) 3rd quarter, (Even) 4th PF 205 PA 335 Div 2-3 Conf 3-8

Analysis: Todd Haley is out as the head coach. Romeo Crennel takes over for the rest of the season. Is it going to be the permanent solution? Whatever happens,, the Chiefs are going to play spoiler... and to their archrivals the Broncos.

Final Game: @DEN (8-7)

What to expect: Just like I've said. It's a division game, anything goes. Hope you've enjoyed reading this. Happy New Years.

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Friday, December 30, 2011

NFL 3rd and 4th Quarter Review: NFC

Here they are, the 4th quarter reports are here. And because I missed the 3rd quarter, I brought them along too. Enjoy

NFC East

NY Giants 8-7 (-2) 3rd quarter,(Even) 4th PF 363 PA 386 Div 2-3 Conf 4-7

Analysis: The third quarter performance was too typical to say the least. Despite losing by 25 to the Saints in week 12, the G-Men only lost by 7 to the 49ers and Eagles in back to back weeks to close out the 3rd. This quarter started when the Packers extended their skid to 4 (38-35). To say that this quarter is an improvement would be a fallacy. While beating the Cowboys and Jets is an accomplishment, being swept by the underachieving Redskins is a huge step back

Final Game: DAL (8-7)

What to expect: The Giants seem to play to the level of their opponents and it has shown all season long. Expect another classic battle in the New Meadowlands this time. Assuming that the previous matchup in Arlington was sign of things to come. If they lose, it might be humanly possible to see Tom Coughlin let go, but don't bet the farm on that one.

Dallas 8-7 (+4) 3rd quarter,(-3) 4th PF 355 PA 316 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Just as great as the 3rd quarter was, the 4th quarter was just as horrible. After knocking off the Dolphins on the Thanksgiving (20-19), the Cowboys have found ways to drop like flies. Whether it was Jason Garrett icing his own kicker in regulation (19-13 OT Cardinals), or Tom Coughlin (37-34 Giants). And let's not forget the choke job to be swept by the Eagles (20-7) who were just eliminated. They did beat the Buccaneers by 16 in week 15. It's been an up and down year, let's end this paragraph on a high note.

Final Game: @NYG (8-7)

What to expect: Tony Romo has been a tough player all year long. Playing through cracked ribs, bruised throwing hand and the all too often ribbing of his play in the 4th quarter. Hall of Fame running back Emmitt Smith may not believe the Boys are man enough for a playoff run. But with everything that has happened to them this year, a win over the G-Men in hostile New Jersey should give them the boost they need.

Philadelphia 7-8 (-2) 3rd quarter, (+3) 4th PF 362 PA 318 Div 4-1 Conf 5-6

Analysis: Whatever hope that was there after the last quarter has been vanquished. Michael Vick (ribs), Jeremy Maclin (shoulder & hamstring) and Nnmadi Asomugha (knee) were hurt most of that time. And that has been a reflection of their poor play last quarter. Add DeSean Jackson's disruptions to the mix and you can see why the Eagles just tanked. Yes ever since Vick has returned, the Eagles have finally looked like the team that they were supposed to be (beating the Dolphins 26-10, Jets 45-19 and Cowboys 20-7), the loss to the Seahawks in week 13 (31-14) made a huge impact.

Final Game: WAS (5-10)

What to expect: Just because there is no playoffs in their immediate future, the Eagles do have something to play for... a .500 record. It may not be an achievement, but at least they won't have a losing record either. At any rate, this season has been a nightmare for Philly fans. The real question is, will the Eagles dominate like they did in the last 3 weeks or will they let the Redskins make a game out of it?

Washington 5-10 (-3) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 278 PA 333 Div 2-3 Conf 5-6

Analysis: If the Redskins can find a silver lining through this tough stretch, it would be that they have lost by double digits only twice (week 10 20-9 Dolphins and week 13 34-19 Jets) in the 3rd and 4th quarters. While staying competitive in games is good, losing is not. We'll have to see how the Skins will play the market in the offseason.

Final Game: @PHI (7-8)

What to expect: One of the issues that need to be address in the offseason is the quarterback situation. Rex Grossman and John Beck are a combined 323-545, 3753 yds, 17 tds and 23 ints so far this season. But with a considerably weak quarterback class in this coming draft, they'll have to get lucky or make some deals in free agency to do that.

NFC North

Green Bay 14-1 (+4) 3rd quarter, (+3) 4th PF 515 PA 318 Div 5-0 Conf 11-0

Analysis: Nobody's perfect, but that's OK for the league best Packers. With that said, that should take some of the pressure off them if and when they win the Super Bowl in February. Need I say more?

Final Game: DET (10-5)

What to expect: Everyone has been dragging this issue out, rest Aaron Rodgers or start him? With a first round bye coming up they should play their 1st team for as long as possible. The season may not be in doubt anymore, but any positive momentum you can carry to the postseason is going to be beneficial.

Detroit 10-5 (-1) 3rd quarter, (+3) PF 433 PA 342 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: For the 1st time this century, the Lions have earned a spot in the playoffs. Overcoming their disciplinary issues this season, they have earned a wild card spot. On top of that, Matt Stafford has stayed healthy all season long which has attributed to their success.

Final Game: @GB (14-1)

What to expect: If the Lions lose and the Falcons win, the Lions will get the 6th seed facing either the Cowboys or Giants. May not be a bad thing, but having to go to Arlington or East Rutherford is going to be a daunting task. Not that New Orleans is going to be a walk in the park.

Chicago 7-8 (+3) 3rd quarter, (-4) 4th quarter PF 336 PA 328 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: With Jay Cutler out for the season (thumb) in week 11, the Bears have scored an average of 8.5 points per game in their last 5 games. Not good enough to keep up with the top tier of the division. Looks like changes are coming to the Windy City after this week.

Final Game: @MIN (3-12)

What to expect: The defense has looked decent, which is a far better than the offense. Mike Martz most likely will be gone at season's end and who knows if Lovie Smith will join him. But the Bears will have add more depth at the QB position in order to be a postseason force for years to come.

Minnesota 3-12 (-3) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 263 PA 449 Div 0-5 Conf 3-8

Analysis: This season could've been worse. They don't have the worst record in the NFL and Christian Ponder could make the Vikings better next season. Given the fact that this is their life now, the coming offseason should be something to anticipate.
Final Game: CHI (7-8)

What to expect: If the Rams and Colts both win and the Vikes lose to the Bears it could be a 3 way tie to determine the 1st pick for the draft. Ignore the last sentence if they win.

NFC South

New Orleans 12-3 (+3) 3rd quarter, (+4) 4th PF 502 PA 322 Div 4-1 Conf 8-3

Analysis: Unlike the Packers, the Saints have managed to go undefeated in the second half of the season. But that could change when the Panthers come to town. Unlike the Packers, they do have something to play for... that coveted 2nd seed.

Final Game: CAR (6-9)

What to expect: We all know what the situation entails. The Saints need to handle their business. Otherwise they host either the Lions or Falcons.

Atlanta 9-6 (+3) 3rd quarter, (Even) 4th PF 357 PA 326 Div 2-3 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Congratulations to the Falcons. They have made the post season in back to back seasons for the 1st time in franchise history. And with the NFC being really tough this season, that deserves a pat on the back.

Final Game: TB (4-11)

What to expect: There might be a slight chance that the Dirty Birds will face either the Saints or 49ers as 5th seed, but there's always a chance. But if they don't take the Buccaneers seriously... well you know the rest.

Carolina 6-9 (-2) 3rd quarter, (+3) 4th PF 389 PA 384 Div 2-3 Conf 3-8

Analysis: Last season, the Panthers won only two games. They have now won 3 times that this time around. And with Cam Newton breaking Peyton Manning's rookie passing yards record, along with a two game winning streak, things are looking up in Charlotte.

Final Game: @NO (12-3)

What to expect: Even if they lose to the Saints, this season is not a lost cause. Considering that this team is a couple of players away from being a force in the NFC South.
Tampa Bay 4-11 (-4) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 263 PA 449 Div 2-3 Conf 3-8

Analysis: I've been saying all along that this a young team. Why should anyone be surprised that this team took a step back this season? Look at it this way Buccaneer fans, they aren't the 2008 Lions, so that's something positive.

Final Game: @ATL (9-6)

What to expect: If they can get a win, keep their young nucleus and acquire some experience in the offseason, expect the young Bucs to be competitive. Otherwise, say goodbye to Raheem Morris. Assuming management is patient.



NFC West

San Francisco 12-3 (+3) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 346 PA 202 Div 4-1 Conf 9-2

Analysis: With a 7 game improvement with a possibility of going to 8, it's no wonder people are thinking Jim Harbaugh is the 2011 Coach of the Year. And with that said, Alex Smith could be Comeback player of the year. Given everything that has happened from last year.

Final Game: @STL (2-13)

What to expect: Even if they get the bye or not, the Niners should take this Rams team as seriously as the Saints are with the Panthers. One loss will be the factor. It should be easy, but nothing really is.

Seattle 7-8 (Even) 3rd quarter,(+3) 4th PF 301 PA 292 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Looks like the Seahawks have gotten back on track. As the old saying goes, "too little too late". Even though they are not going to win the division this season, they get a win and they have improved by one game.

Final Game: @ARI (7-8)

What to expect: OK the game versus the Cardinals seems meaningless. But the possibility to improve from last year is anything but. In other words, the race for second should be interesting.

Arizona 7-8 (+3) 3rd and 4th quarters PF 289 PA 328 Div 3-2 Conf 6-5

Analysis: Let's stay with the theme of too little, too late. The Cardinals lost 6 out of 7 in the 1st half of the season, but have won 75% of their games in this half so far. Is there a quarterback controversy brewing in Glendale? We'll have to wait until the preseason. Offseason at the earliest.

Final Game: SEA (7-8)

What to expect: This game could be more pointless for the Cards than the Hawks for a couple of reasons. 1) They aren't going to the playoffs for the 3rd straight season and... 2) They've done better than last year. Although getting to .500 would be a sweet ending to a miserable start.

St. Louis 2-13 (-3) 3rd quarter, (-4) 4th PF 166 PA 373 Div 0-5 Conf 1-10

Analysis: Not only does Sam Bradford have to learn a new playbook in this lockout shortened preseason, he had the injury bug bite him. And to make matters worse, the 4th quarter looked disastrous scoring only 26 points during that stretch.

Final Game: SF(12-3)

What to expect: Steve Spagnulo will be someone's defensive coordinator this offseason. Josh McDaniels might be gone too. With a loss and a Colts win, the Rams could use that 1st round pick with whoever they see fit. Too bad this story can't have a happy ending. Or will it?

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Saturday, November 5, 2011

NFL 2nd Quarter Review: AFC

Finally... the reports for the AFC have arrived. Without further delay, here is what you're looking for. Expect another report after Week 12.

AFC East

Buffalo 5-2 (+1) PF 211 PA 147 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1

Analysis: So the Bills managed two firsts in Week 8. They won their first game in Toronto and Redskins coach Mike Shanahan gets blanked for the first time in his career (23-0). And thanks to their winning ways this quarter, it looks like Andrew Luck won't be picked #1 by the Bills. Especially with Ryan Fitzpatrick with his 1st half performance (67.7% completions, 1739 yds and 14 tds) earning him $59 million over 6 years.

Next 4 weeks: NYJ (4-3), @DAL (3-4), @MIA (0-7), @NYJ (4-3)

What to expect: Again, the Bills had a good second quarter. But with the Patriots nipping at their heels in the standings, and facing the unpredictable Jets twice in this coming quarter, their lead looks like it's going to disappear. One loss against the Cowboys and/or Dolphins could mean the same thing. 3 out of their last 4 on the road will be a true test.

New England 5-2 (+1) PF 202 PA 160 Div 2-1 Conf 4-2

Analysis: The only reason why the Pats are in second place is because of their head-to-head loss earlier this season (31-34). Their only hiccup against the Steelers in Week 8 (17-25) also put them where they are today. If Tom Brady can improve some in the 3rd quarter (75-109 passing, 808 yds, 5 tds and 3 int (2nd qtr)). However, being ranked 2nd in QBR (104.4), Brady won't need much more improvement.

Next 4 weeks: NYG (5-2), @NYJ (4-3), KC (4-3), @PHI (3-4)

What to expect: When your defense is dead last in passing yards allowed (323.1), it helps to keep your opponents in the game. In their 5 wins this season, their average margin of victory is 10.6 points. But the Pats opponents have scored under 20 points only twice this season (Raiders 19 (Week 4), Cowboys 16 (Week 7)). If Brady can keep his offense on the field against these heavyweights, the defense will improve.

NY Jets 4-3 (+1) PF 100 PA 95 Div 1-1 Conf 3-3

Analysis: When they are home, the Jets are hard to beat. Just ask the Dolphins on Monday Night (24-6) and the Chargers (came from behind 27-21). But when it comes to away games, they have lost all three games by average of 12 points. This doesn't bode well for their 3rd quarter if things don't improve...NOW!!!

Next 4 weeks: @BUF (5-2), NE (5-2), @DEN (2-5), BUF (5-2)

What to expect: Somewhere in this schedule, the Jets can drop its first home game this season against either of their division foes. If they can't get a win against the Broncos in Week 11, then you can expect them to be fighting pretty hard to get that last Wild Card spot.

Miami 0-7 (-3) PF 107 PA 166 Div 0-2 Conf 0-6

Analysis: If Dolphins fans are surprised that Tony Sparano still has his job, don't be. The most likely scenario would be if the Phins lost their 9th game, expect an interim coach to be named. Usually when someone says that the offense hasn't lost a step, it's a compliment. But with Chad Henne (64-122 passing, 868 yds 4 tds and 4 ints) and Matt Moore (68-115 passing, 706 yds, 1 td and 4 ints) at the helm this season, the fans of South Beach are going to be looking forward to 2012.

Next 4 weeks: @KC (4-3), WAS (3-4), BUF (5-2),@DAL (3-4)

What to expect: At this pace, the Dolphins can pull off one or two wins this quarter. But maybe that's just wishful thinking. It's possible only if the front office believes the future is now. Can you imagine Andrew Luck in a Dolphins uni? All signs point to yes.

AFC North

Pittsburgh 6-2 (+4) PF 176 PA 139 Div 0-1 Conf 4-2

Analysis: Ever since that loss to Houston (17-10) to close the 1st quarter, the Steel Curtain has been on a roll. The Black and Gold have outscored their opponents 112-67 while only forcing 2 turnovers. Looks like they are in midseason form.

Next 4 weeks: BAL (5-2), @CIN (5-2), BYE, @KC (4-3)

What to expect: This weekend's rematch versus the Ravens will be epic. So will next week at the Bengals. If the Steelers are going to keep their AFC crown, they will need to keep up the good work. And with the Ravens slipping up and the young Bengals, the Steel City has a shot. By the way, don't sleep on the Chiefs.

Cincinnati 5-2 (+3) PF 171 PA 123 Div 1-0 Conf 4-1

Analysis: After winning only 4 games all of last year, who would've thought the Bengals would be in the thick of the AFC North. Ever since their last single digit win over the Bills (23-20), the Bengals have dominated their last three opponents (10 point victories over the Jaguars and Colts and by 12 points over Seattle).

Next 4 weeks: @TEN (4-3), PIT (6-2), @BAL (5-2) , CLE (3-4)

What to expect: The Bengals have some new blood and it has definitely shown in the 1st half. But with the Titans and their divisional opponents upcoming, their team chemistry will be put to the test. Even with the new look Browns coming to town.
Baltimore 5-2 (+1) PF 185 PA 110 Div 1-0 Conf 3-2

Analysis: Yes, Joe Flacco has thrown 6 interceptions and his QBR is 75.4 in the first half. But the Ravens are still winning games this season. Flacco has thrown for 1751 yards and 8 touchdowns. On the plus side, their defense has allowed the least amount of points and are 3rd in both passing (174.1) and rushing yards (89.1) allowed.

Next 4 weeks: @PIT (6-2), @SEA (2-5), CIN (5-2), SF (6-1)

What to expect: To anyone who questions Flacco's performance in the first half of this season, might be in for a real shock. He may not be in the class of Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers or Peyton Manning, but if he can build on his performance against the Cardinals in week 8 (31-51 passing for 331 yards), the Ravens will be in the Super Bowl. But will the D' hold up against the Steelers, Bengals and 49ers? I'm pretty sure they are.


Cleveland 3-4 (-1) PF 107 PA 140 Div 0-1 Conf 2-3

Analysis: Just when everyone thought the drama was over... think again. Peyton Hillis, who was the Browns leading rusher (1171 yds rushing 4.4 ypc, 11 tds) has been looking like a flash in the pan in 4 games this season (60 carries, 211 yds, 2 tds). But Hillis is not the only problem. Their passing offense is not doing so hot itself (218.1 ypg (20th)). The defense has done good, but if the offense can't get its running game going, it's going to be along 2nd half for them.

Next 4 weeks: @HOU (5-3), STL (1-6), JAX (2-6), @CIN (5-2)

What to expect: With everything that has been happening to the Browns this season. Former Big 12 rival Sam Bradford and the Rams pay a visit to the Dawg Pound for a clash with Colt McCoy. Other than that, not much going on.

AFC South

Houston 5-3 (Even) PF 206 PA 145 Div 3-0 Conf 5-2

Analysis: Despite losing Mario Williams for the season with a pectoral tear and Andre Johnson out another week with his hamstring, the Texans could've done worst. With Arian Foster and Ben Tate combining for 1040 yards rushing, the offense is clicking. Despite missing Williams and Danieal Manning most of this quarter, the new 3-4 defense has allowed 189.4 yards passing (5th), 97.4 yards rushing (6th) and 18.1 points per game.

Next 4 weeks: CLE (3-4), @TB (4-3), BYE, @JAX (2-6)

What to expect: Looks like a pretty favorable start for the 2nd half of the season. But Texan fans know that things can turn badly in a flash. As long as they don't get snake bitten with any more key injuries, the Texans can maintain momentum and keep their grip on the division lead.

Tennessee 4-3 (-1) PF 139 PA 145 Div 1-2 Conf 4-3

Analysis: Having the worst rushing offense in the NFL (68.9 yds) and anyone can see why the Titans have lost badly this past quarter (21 to Pittsburgh and 34 to Houston). But to still be one game over .500 and half a game back division leader Houston tells the story of the AFC South. With their win over the winless Colts, will that be the turning point?

Next 4 weeks: CIN (5-2), @CAR (2-6), @ATL (4-3), TB (4-3)

What to expect: There might be a couple of winnable games in this stretch...but who's it going to be? If the ground game doesn't get its act together, then all four of those teams will run the scoreboard on the Titans.

Jacksonville 2-6 (-2) PF 98 PA 163 Div 1-1 Conf 2-4

Analysis: Somehow, the Jaguars have won 2 games in the first half of the season. They have scored an average of 14 points in their victories. But they've allowed over 20.4 points this season. And the sad reality is that the Jags have only score 20 points only once this season (loss to Cincinnati 30-20 in Week 5). At this rate, it looks like there's gonna be a shakeup in Jacksonville.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @IND (0-8), @CLE (3-4), HOU (5-3)

What to expect: If it weren't for the St. Louis Rams (87 points), the Jags would be in a world of hurt. But they could be worse off if they come off the bye week and give the Colts their first win. That would be the beginning of the end when they face the Browns and Texans.

Indianapolis 0-8 (-4) PF 121 PA 252 Div 0-2 Conf 0-6

Analysis: Yep, this looks like a team that is desperate for Peyton Manning. The fact that Curtis Painter has thrown for 1123 yards this season, the Colts should've won a game or two. Especially against Kansas City in week 5 (24-28).

Next 4 weeks: ATL (4-3), JAX (2-6), BYE, CAR (2-6)

What to expect: To be optimistic as humanly possible, the Colts could pull a couple of wins in this upcoming quarter. Don't count on them beating the Falcons. Either the anemic Jaguar offense or the young Panthers will possibly give the Colts their first victory. Well maybe.

AFC West

Kansas City 4-3 (+3) PF 128 PA 170 Div 2-1 Conf 3-2

Analysis: Welcome back to the top of the division. After knocking off the Vikings (22-17) to close out the 1st quarter, the Chiefs have reeled off a 4 game win streak to vault them back to legitimacy. With Jamaal Charles out for the season, Dexter McCluster and Jackie Battle have combined for 512 yards to help answer the call.

Next 4 weeks: MIA (0-7), DEN (2-5), @NE (5-2), PIT (6-2)

What to expect: With the way the Chiefs are playing, this upcoming 3rd quarter looks like a split. Which translates into Todd Haley shaving his beard after the New England game. But with the way they are playing, the Chiefs could go undefeated this time around.
San Diego 4-3 (-1) PF 161 PA 159 Div 2-1 Conf 3-3

Analysis: If the Bolts have any consolation, it's the fact that they're losing now instead of later on December like they have for the past few seasons. Philip Rivers (64.5 completions 2084 yds and 7 tds) would be more impressive if he didn't have 11 interceptions. But if the Chargers don't find a way to limit their opponents on the ground (117.7 yards, 17th in NFL), then you could expect the much of the same thing to happen in the 3rd quarter.

Next 4 weeks: GB (7-0), OAK (4-3), @CHI (4-3), DEN (2-5)

What to expect: If Charger fans thought the last quarter was tough, this one doesn't get any better. The toughest game may not be the undefeated Packers. It could be the Raiders, but highly unlikely. Going to Chicago in late November would be the obvious choice. But the Broncos could prove to be the biggest pest later on. Assuming Tim Tebow hit his stride.

Oakland 4-3 (+1) PF 160 PA 178 Div 1-1 Conf 4-3

Analysis: No one expected the Raiders to be in a three way battle for the AFC West. Especially with the injury bug hitting Jason Campbell (collarbone) and Darren McFadden (foot), the offense now turns to former Bengals Carson Palmer and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. But their biggest concern is the defense allowing over 20 points in every game but one this season (win over the Browns 24-17 in week 6).

Next 4 weeks: DEN (2-5), @SD (4-3), @MIN (2-6), CHI (4-3)

What to expect: It wouldn't be a stretch to say the Raiders might split this schedule. But if Palmer and Houshmandzadeh rekindle their magic like they did in Cincinnati, expect the Raiders to run the table this quarter. Might sound like more than a stretch, but you never know.


Denver 2-5 (-1) PF 133 PA 200 Div 0-2 Conf 2-3

Analysis: Tim Tebow's mechanic issues are really beginning to rear its ugly head in the Mile High City. The energy level is up, but the winning percentage is not. That's not the only thing that is plaguing the Broncos. The running game has done good (125.9 yds, 8th), but the passing game (179.6 yds, 30th) needs to be their saving grace if they are going to win out.
Next 4 weeks: @OAK (4-3), @KC (4-3), NYJ (4-3), @SD (4-3)

What to expect: Von Miller 6 sacks (8th in NFL) are being overshadowed by the team's inability to win. Looks like they have their pick of which 4-3 team to start improving the Broncos' future. With 3 out of 4 games within their division, it's more likely to be one of them.

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

NFL 2nd Quarter Review : NFC

The 1st half of the 2011 is complete. How did your favorite NFC team do? Did they improve or not? Give it a read and see how they did.

NFC East

NY Giants 5-2 (+1) PF 174 PA 164 Div 1-1 Conf 3-2

Analysis: After 7 games in eight weeks the G-Men are in sole possession of 1st place. And if they are to stay on top, they will have to play their best. Despite laying an egg against the Seahawks to start the second quarter (25-36), the Giants had a great game against the Bills (27-24) and avoided an upset against the winless Dolphins (20-17). If they can improve on their rushing attack (85.4 ypg-30th) and rush defense (130.1 ypg-28th), they could be a team to watch for.
Next 4 weeks: @NE (5-2), @SF (6-1),PHI (3-4),@NO (5-3)

What to expect: This is doesn't look good for the Giants. Their next games are against teams who are in the top 20 in rushing this season (NE 18th, SF 6th, PHI 1st, NO 12th). And these teams are not going to be easy to come back on in the 4th quarter. Nobody knows what to expect from the Giants. If they can continue to play up to the level of these next four, can you say playoffs?

Philadelphia 3-4 (+1) PF 179 PA 152 Div 2-1 Conf 3-3

Analysis: The Eagles have managed to close out this quarter with a two game winning streak. Even more impressive, they did it against the Redskins (20-13) and Cowboys (34-7). That's a start. While Michael Vick threw 5 interceptions, he has completed around 65.6% of his passes for 821 yards and 5 touchdowns. He's also attempted 20 rushes for 144 yards. Their defense has done better as well. Looks like they're ready to soar.

Next 4 weeks: CHI (4-3), ARI (1-6), @NYG (5-2), NE (5-2)

What to expect: This looks like an easy way to say that the Eagles are going to go 2-2 easy. But this could be easily 3-1 as well. With the way their defense is playing, Jay Cutler might be running for his life all game long. The Cardinals are ____? The Giants could be struggling by then and we all know about the Patriots.

Dallas 3-4 (-1) PF 156 PA 162 Div 1-1 Conf 3-2

Analysis: Forget the bye week and forget the Patriots game (16-20), the Boys could've done better. But if it's any consolation, they are in a 3 way tie for second. Yes, averaging 279.9 yards passing (6th) and 114.7 yards rushing (15th) is a good thing, allowing over 23.1 points per game while scoring on average 22.3 points isn't going to assure any team of a winning record anytime soon.

Next 4 weeks: SEA (2-5), BUF (5-2), @WAS (3-4), MIA (0-7)

What to expect: Three struggling teams should be an easy 3rd quarter for the Cowboys. The Seahawks did beat the Giants and the Bills are looking like they are for real. The Redskins on the road could be troublesome and the Dolphins might get their first win. Long story short, the Cowboys are going to be in deep trouble if they don't pull 3 out of 4 at the very least.

Washington 3-4 (-3) PF 116 PA 139 Div 1-2 Conf 3-3

Analysis: The Skins look like they are regretting that bye week. They have helped the Eagles (13-20) get back on track. Not forgetting to mention getting embarrassed by the Panthers (20-33) and Mike Shanahan getting shut out for the 1st time in his coaching career (23-0 loss to the Bills in Toronto). While Rex Grossman may not be the answer at quarterback, John Beck hasn't fared much better (58.8% completions for 604 yards and 1 touchdown with 3 picks). And the offensive line allowing 22 sacks doesn't bode well for anyone.

Next 4 weeks: SF (6-1), @MIA (0-7), DAL (3-4), @SEA (2-5)

What to expect: Assuming the O-Line's struggles continue, the Skins could have an even worse 3rd quarter. With Tashard Choice being cut by the Cowboys, the rivalry will definitely have some sizzle. Unlike Chris Cooley's bashing of Tony Romo earlier this season. Just wait and see how this all plays out for them.

NFC North

Green Bay 7-0 (+3) PF 230 PA 141 Div 2-0 Conf 6-0

Analysis: The Pack is the only undefeated team in the NFL. And while there are 9 games remaining, it looks like the Cheeseheads might have a chance to join the 1972 Dolphins as the second team to have a perfect season. But with only 9 games to go, there are some good teams that lie ahead that can ruin it for them.

Next 4 weeks: @SD (4-3), MIN (2-6), TB (4-3), @DET (6-2)

What to expect: Aaron Rodgers still is doing is his thing (171-239, 2372 yards and 20 touchdowns). But with their pass defense ranked near last in yards allowed (288.9 ypg), 16-0 can be in serious jeopardy. And if the Lions can maintain momentum, there could be a loss in their future.

Detroit 6-2 (Even) PF 239 PA 147 Div 2-0 Conf 4-2

Analysis: The upcoming bye week came on a positive note via the hapless Broncos (45-10). If people can put to rest the "hard handshake" of Jim Schwartz and Jim Harbaugh (25-19 loss to the 49ers) and the loss to the Falcons (23-16), you all can realize that the Lions are in great shape. Especially since they haven't faced the Packers yet.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @CHI (4-3), CAR (2-6), GB (7-0)

What to expect: Will the Bears get their revenge? Can the Panthers pull off the upset? Will the Lions be the ones to knock the Packers from the rank of the undefeated? All questions aside, if Matthew Stafford stays healthy, this could be a much better 3rd quarter. Especially with their defense allowing under 20 points a game during the previous quarter.

Chicago 4-3 (+1) PF 170 PA 150 Div 1-2 Conf 4-3

Analysis: With a so-so 1st quarter, the Bears have responded with a slightly better 2nd quarter winning their last two games (39-10 over the Vikings and 24-18 over the Buccaneers).Also an interesting fact, they are only one of the two NFC teams not to play an inter-conference game at this point. The other team... keep reading.

Next 4 weeks: @PHI (3-4), DET (6-2), SD(4-3), @OAK (4-3)

What to expect: Don't be totally shocked that the Bears 2 game win streak will not be extended. Even with their 1st two AFC matchups, they could pull it off. But which team is going to show up? And with the resurgent Eagles and the hungry Lions, it wouldn't be shocking to see the Bears in a difficult position for the wild card race.

Minnesota 2-6 (Even) PF 172 PA 199 Div 0-3 Conf 2-4

Analysis: The good news, the Vikes got their first two wins of the season in the 2nd quarter. Sadly, they are no better off than where they started from. With Donovan McNabb getting benched in favor of Christian Ponder (40-77,554 yards and 3 touchdowns) things are starting to look up in the land of 10,000 lakes.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @GB (7-0), OAK (4-3), @ATL (4-3)

What to expect: At this point, this 3rd quarter looks like a complete toss up. Maybe the Vikings can go 2 out of 3. Or go 0-3 or 1-2. I don't know the outcome, but the switch to Ponder is looking to be a very wise choice.

NFC South

New Orleans 5-3 (Even) PF 260 PA 189 Div 1-1 Conf 2-3

Analysis: Things in the Big Easy have not been as such. Despite averaging the best passing offense in the NFL (326.8 ypg), the Saints have dropped their last 2 out of 3 this quarter. While they beat down the Colts on Monday night (62-7), they were not expected to drop one against the Rams. By virtue of the Rams first win and the Buccaneers having a bye week , the Saints are below .500 in the conference. Yet still in first place.

Next 4 weeks: TB (4-3), @ATL (4-3), BYE, NYG (5-2)

What to expect: The Buccaneers have proven they are no pushovers this season. Don't expect anything to be different when the rematch takes place in the Superdome. And when the Saints play their first game with the Falcons... again, another team that will keep the score close. And Eli Manning paying a visit to New Orleans should be interesting as well.

Tampa Bay 4-3 (-1) PF 131 PA 169 Div 2-0 Conf 3-3

Analysis: Despite that 45 point blowout to the 49ers, the young Bucs have done quite good actually. Knocking off the Saints is always a good sign (26-20), but Josh Freeman throwing 6 picks in his last 3 games is not. Their mettle will definitely be tested after this bye week for sure.

Next 4 weeks: @NO (5-3), HOU(5-3), @GB (7-0), @TEN (4-3)

What to expect: For a young team coming off a pretty lackluster looking second quarter, the Buccaneers could be winless. But they can split this coming quarter. Especially if the Texans and Titans don't take them too seriously.

Atlanta 4-3 (+1) PF 158 PA 163 Div 1-1 Conf 4-3

Analysis: Yep, the Falcons are the other team. The second quarter has been pretty good for them. With an impressive win over the above .500 Lions to close out the first half of the season (23-16), the Dirty Birds will be ready to have back to back winning playoff appearances for the first time in franchise history.

Next 4 weeks: @IND (0-8), NO (5-3), TEN (4-3), MIN (2-6)

What to expect: This upcoming schedule screams split. But the Falcons have looked good in their last two games. Just allowing 16.5 points and scoring 27 points, they might come out of this sitting on top of the division.

Carolina 2-6 (-2) PF 187 PA 207 Div 0-2 Conf 1-6

Analysis: Cam Newton is still a front runner for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Yes the, rush defense has improved from 31st (143.8 yards allowed) to 29th (133.3), but the second quarter is more like the first one. It's definitely looking like it's going to be a year or two before they are in the playoff discussion.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, TEN (4-3), @DET (6-2), @IND (0-8)

What to expect: Against more established teams like the Titans and the Lions, the Panthers maybe able to stay competitive throughout the contests. Maybe they'll win, maybe they won't. Ditto for the Colts game.

NFC West

San Francisco 6-1 (+3) PF 94 PA 75 Div 1-0 Conf 4-1

Analysis: The last time a coach from Stanford came and turned the Niners' around was when Bill Walsh took the job in 1978. Granted he didn't have the same turn around as Jim Harbaugh has now (6 games won last season. Won 2 games at the first half of the season). With that kind of success they could be in a few Super Bowls in the near future. Just sayin'.

Next 4 weeks: @WAS (3-4), NYG (5-2), ARI (1-6), @BAL (5-2)

What to expect: With their wide margin on the division lead, they can easily win this division hands down. Does anyone wonder what's going to happen in the postgame between the brothers Harbaugh when the 49ers take on the Ravens? It should be a good game regardless.

Seattle 2-5 (-1) PF 109 PA 162 Div 1-1 Conf 2-2

Analysis: Despite the fact that the Seahawks have not had an individual rush for over 100 yards this season, but they did rush for 145 yards in their lone victory over the Giants this past quarter (36-25). But in their last two losses versus the Browns and Bengals they rushed for a combined 160 yards. If they don't improve in this coming quarter, the 12th Man can forget about a second straight playoff appearance.

Next 4 weeks: @DAL (3-4), BAL (5-2), @STL (1-6), WAS (3-4)

What to expect: With their offense ranked 24th in the pass (206.3 yds) and 31st in the rush (77.7 yds), it's not a surprise that the Hawks are where they are now. Even though they are in the top 20 in two defensive categories, the fact that they have given up over 30 points four times this season and lost is typical of a team that is going to miss the playoffs.

Arizona 1-6 (-3) PF 143 PA 183 Div 0-1 Conf 1-4

Analysis: In the second quarter, the Red Birds have allowed over 30 points in every contest. And the fact that they have averaged 19 points over the last 3 games is proof that the Cardinals are in this current state. And you would think the Kevin Kolb-Larry Fitzgerald tandem would be enough to keep them competitive?

Next 4 weeks: STL (1-6), @PHI (3-4), @SF (6-1), @STL (1-6)

What to expect: Will Kolb's return to Philly be productive? Probably not with the way the Eagles are playing right now. And the 49ers.. it's a 50/50 proposition. With the Rams at both ends of the schedule... at least they have a chance to end their 6 game skid at home.

St. Louis 1-6 (-1) PF 87 PA 192 Div 0-0 Conf 1-5

Analysis: After knocking off their former division rivals the Saints on Sunday (31-21), they are the last NFC team to collect a victory. With the acquisition of Brandon Lloyd from the Broncos, it gives some hope for functionality for Josh McDaniels' system. And with Sam Bradford possibly coming back from his ankle injury, should help breathe some new life into this dismal season.

Next 4 weeks: @ARI (1-6), @CLE (3-4), SEA (2-5), ARI (1-6)

What to expect: This looks like a perfect opportunity for the Rams to get back to .500.But 3 out of 4 games that are going to be played within the division is going to be a rather daunting task. Could the Rams do what their baseball counterparts the Cardinals do and make the postseason? It could happen.

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

NFL 1st Quarter Review: AFC

Here is how the AFC fared in the 1st quarter of the season. Next quarterly review will be after week 8 so keep on the look out.

AFC East

Buffalo 3-1 PF 133 PA 96 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1

Analysis: It's all looking good for the Bills at the moment. It looks like they have stability at the quarterback position with Ryan Fitzpatrick (92-145 1040 yds 9 tds). With the exception of a blow out win at the Chiefs (41-7) in week 1, the Bills should be grateful for not being 1-3 right now. Against the Raiders and Patriots, the Bills were outscored 42-13 in the 1st half. But they came back from behind to outscore them by a total of 59-24, winning each contest by a late field goal. Of course, the Bills got a taste of their own medicine last week (Bills 17-3 1st half + Bengals 20-3 2nd half= Bengals 23 Bills 20).

Next 4 weeks: PHI (1-3), @NYG (3-1), BYE, WAS (3-1)

What to expect: Hopefully that slip at Cincinnati doesn't set the table for a 4 game losing streak. But if they can continue to be resilient in the tough games like they were in Weeks 2 & 3, the Bills can put themselves in good position to win the division.

New England 3-1 PF 135 PA 98 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1

Analysis: This is what you expect of the Patriots at the beginning of the season. OK, maybe not tied with the Bills for 1st place with one loss...but still. Tom Brady is still Tom Brady (109-163 1553 yds 13 tds), even with 5 interceptions. Brady's main targets Wes Welker (40 rec 616 yds 5 tds) and Rob Gronkowski (18 rec 5 tds) have been very productive. But the pass defense is very suspect right now. They dead last in the league allowing an average of 368.8 yards. It's still early folks.

Next 4 weeks: NYJ (2-2), DAL (2-2), BYE, @PIT (2-2)

What to expect: With the Jets, Cowboys and Steelers struggling to find their identity right now, this looks like the Pats can go 3-0 easy. But the Jets could repeat their performance from last year's AFC Divisional game (28-21). The Cowboys might find a way to keep their momentum in the 4th quarter of games and the Steelers offensive line might find some chemistry. Don't want to take anything for granted at this junction in the season.

NY Jets 2-2 PF 100 PA 95 Div 0-0 Conf 1-2

Analysis: The Jets looked like they might be off to their typical fast start. But those first two wins were at MetLife Stadium winning on average by 16. Being away from home has proven to be a disaster losing by a combined 27 points in their last 2 games. It looks like this next quarter of the season won't get any easier. Stay tuned.

Next 4 weeks: @NE (3-1), MIA (0-4), SD (3-1), BYE
What to expect: Who knows what can happen after this quarter. We all are aware of the history between the Pats and Jets. The Dolphins come for a visit on Monday night. Could be another classic. And the Chargers could easily beat them bad if the J-E-T-S don't make adjustments and soon.

Miami 0-4 PF 69 PA 104 Div 0-1 Conf 0-4

Analysis: The way this season has gone for the Dolphins, it's not really a shock to see them winless. Except for the game in Cleveland, the Phins have lost by double digits to start off this season. Tony Sparano's job may be safe for now, but with the way things are trending, we could be seeing a new coach taking his talents to South Beach sooner rather than later.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @NYJ (2-2), DEN (1-3),@NYG (3-1)

What to expect: Will the Monday Night game be enough to save Sparano's job? Time will tell if the Dolphins will make a significant enough of an improvement, otherwise, there will be an interim tag on someone after the 17th.

AFC North

Baltimore 3-1 PF 119 PA 57 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1

Analysis: With the exception of the Titans game, the Ravens have rolled over everyone by an average of 25 points. As Ray Lewis has said before, "defense wins championships". The Ravens are in the top 10 in 3 defensive categories. They are ranked 2nd in points allowed (57), 3rd in opponents rushing ypg (72.5) and 9th in opponents passing ypg (212). Their rushing attack hasn't been bad either with Ray Rice and Ricky Williams contributing to the 123.8 ypg (3rd best in NFL).

Next 4 weeks: BYE, HOU (3-1), @JAX (1-3), ARI (1-3)

What to expect: This looks like an easy win given three possibilities. 1) Andre Johnson should be in his second week out with an injury and the Texans secondary still has some issues. 2) Blaine Gabbert is almost a lock to get bullied by the Ravens defense. 3) The Cardinals offense could be facing the same issues as the Jaguars might. At any rate, the Ravens D is going to face an uphill battle.

Cincinnati 2-2 PF 80 PA 74 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1

Analysis: No Carson Palmer? No Chad Ochocinco? No problem. With the Steelers O-Line issues and the Browns being inconsistent, the Bengals can make a case for most improved team right now. Of course last year at this point, they were 2-2. Yet they closed out the season 2-10. If the Bengals can remain resilient like they were in their wins against Cleveland and Buffalo, then they can be the sleeper pick for a Wild Card.

Next 4 weeks: @JAX (1-3), IND (0-4), BYE , SEA (1-3)

What to expect: While the schedule looks easy and their defense can help keep games close, they still have a rookie quarterback. Andy Dalton has looked impressive so far, (72-124 868 yds ) he has just as many touchdowns as he does interceptions (4). Don't be surprised to see some dropoff in the upcoming schedule.

Cleveland 2-2 PF 74 PA 93 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2

Analysis: Colt McCoy is doing just fine (100-172 984 yds 6 tds). Their rushing attack could use a kick in the pants (27th in the NFL averaging 85.8 per game). The coaching drama with Eric Mangini is gone and the Browns should be fine with Pat Shurmur at the helm. The season's still young, and the Browns can still be that sleeper team experts claimed they'd be.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @OAK (2-2), SEA (1-3), @SF (3-1)

What to expect: Assuming Josh Cribbs and Peyton Hillis get back on the mends after the bye week, this team could dominate this next quarter of the season. Otherwise, they'll have the same result as this past quarter.

Pittsburgh 2-2 PF 64 PA 72 Div 0-1 Conf 1-2

Analysis: If anyone can feel Jay Cutler's pain this season, it would be Ben Roethlisberger. If the offensive line can stay healthy, the Steelers could've been on top of the division by now. The Steel Curtain is still intact, but if the offense doesn't improve, there will be no playoff appearance this season.

Next 4 weeks: TEN (3-1), JAX (1-3), @ARI (1-3), NE (3-1)

What to expect: This looks like it has the potential of a 1st quarter repeat (loss to Baltimore, won against Seattle and Indianapolis, loss to Houston). But with the aforementioned issues that lie ahead, I'm not really sure what to expect.

AFC South

Houston 3-1 PF 107 PA 70 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0

Analysis: If the Texans know one thing, it's that they should not get their hopes up. Arian Foster has missed time with hamstring issues, but came back versus the Steelers with a vengeance (30 carries 155 yds and a touchdown). But now Andre Johnson has a hamstring injury that will sideline him for the next three weeks. As long as the new 3-4 defense introduced by new coordinator Wade Phillips can continue to work, the Texan fans can breathe a little easier.

Next 4 weeks: OAK (2-2), @BAL (3-1), @TEN (3-1), JAX (1-3)

What to expect: We'll have to see how the Texans can function without Johnson for the next 3 weeks. As long as they don't lose Foster again nor Matt Schaub and Owen Daniels at any point, the offense should be clicking. What really should be more worrisome than the Raiders and Ravens are the Titans and Jaguars. Momentum could shift sharply if the Texans don't take care of business.

Tennessee 3-1 PF 88 PA 56 Div 0-1 Conf 3-1

Analysis: The team formerly known as the Houston Oilers have done surprisingly well. While they are doing great on the defensive side of the ball, the offense needs improvement if they are going to keep the positive momentum going. The passing game has done well, but with Chris Johnson as the featured tailback, you'd think that they would fare better in rushing yards. But they're not (66.8 ypc (last in the NFL)).

Next 4 weeks: @PIT (2-2), BYE, HOU (3-1), IND (0-4)

What to expect: This could be a challenging stretch for the Titans over the next 3 games. That's assuming Matt Hasselbeck gets injured and Jake Locker will have a trial under fire. And if their rushing attack doesn't become more efficient, that 1st quarter success will be merely a flash in the pan.

Jacksonville 1-3 PF 39 PA 85 Div 1-0 Conf 1-1

Analysis: How is it that team averages under 10 points a game still be in the race for the divisional lead? A good defense is a starting point. The Jaguars are 14th passing defense (228.8 allowed) and 16th against the rush (107 allowed). But being last in passing (137.5 ypg) is not going to keep anyone in the race for long.

Next 4 weeks: CIN (2-2), @PIT (2-2), BAL (3-1), @HOU (3-1)

What to expect: The Jags are going to be facing some of the best pass defenses in the league during this stretch. But if Blaine Gabbert can get some more experience, the offense will be just as good as the defense.

Indianapolis 0-4 PF 63 PA 108 Div 0-1 Conf 0-3

Analysis: I wonder if there is a quarterback controversy with the Colts this season? We all know they miss Peyton Manning, but he may not be back this season. While Kerry Collins' number have looked good (48-98 481 yds 2 tds), Curtis Painter has looked better running the offense (18-41 341 yds 2 tds). At any rate, no Manning means that the offense needs adjustment. The defensive numbers don't look good, but if the offense can sustain some drives, it wouldn't be an issue.

Next 4 weeks: KC (1-3), @CIN (2-2), @NO (3-1), @TEN (3-1)

What to expect: There is no rest for the weary Colts at this juncture. If coach Jim Caldwell decides to stick with Painter, I could probably see the Colts splitting this upcoming quarter. But we'll have to see.

AFC West

San Diego 3-1 PF 91 PA 85 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1

Analysis: The Chargers are leading the division to nobody's surprise. Philip Rivers performance in the 1st quarter of the season (107-157 1286 yds 5 tds)has the denizens of San Diego thinking playoffs. Does it really matter if Nate Kaeding is on IR and Antonio Gates has not performed up to par (8 rec 74 yds ). Besides, things get more interesting in the 2nd half of the season anyway.

Next 4 weeks: @DEN (1-3), BYE, @NYJ (2-2), @KC (1-3)

What to expect: I really want to say this going to be easy for the Bolts, but given their history... not feeling it. Going on the road to your divisional rivals is a daunting task. And if going on the road to the Jets is going to be a walk in the park, then you might be right. It'll be a walk in the park in the bad part of town.

Oakland 2-2 PF 111 PA 113 Div 1-0 Conf 2-2

Analysis: Despite their record so far, the Raiders look like they're committed to excellence once again. Yes, Al Davis is still alive and doing well now that the Silver and Black are showing some promise. They are the best rushing attack in the league averaging 178.8 yards per game. But with a new coach (Hue Jackson) comes some of the pains of adjustment.

Next 4 weeks: @HOU (3-1), CLE (2-2), KC (1-3), BYE

What to expect: It's going to be easy to see how well the Raiders will fair over this next quarter. I could see them catching on, but not until the later part of the season.

Kansas City 1-3 PF 49 PA 126 Div 0-1 Conf 0-2

Analysis: Just because Charlie Weis is at the University of Florida doesn't mean the rest of the offensive schemes have to go there too. If it weren't for the Jaguars (39) and Rams (46), the Chiefs would be dead last in points scored. Not forgetting to mention they are 30th in passing yards (159.8). And the defense could do better too.

Next 4 weeks: @IND (0-4), BYE, OAK (2-2), SD (3-1)

What to expect: Even if the Chiefs have Thomas Jones, they will surely miss Jamal Charles (12 carries 6.9 ypc )who's on IR. Jones is averaging less than 3 yards per carry and has not scored a rushing touchdown. This coming quarter will really test the Chiefs' ability to sustain good consistency .

Denver 1-3 PF 81 PA 111 Div 0-1 Conf 0-3

Analysis: Like I said about the Steelers, if your O-Line isn't working correctly, then your offense isn't going to sustain drives. That is the case for the 2011 Denver Broncos as we speak. While they are performing better than some teams, being 24th in passing (224) and 26th in rushing (86.8) is nothing to cheer about either. Drafting Von Miller has turned out to be a blessing as many have predicted (16 tackles and 4 sacks).

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @MIA (0-4), DET (4-0), @OAK (2-2)

What to expect: Inserting Tim Tebow in for Kyle Orton may not solve the offensive woes. But there is that possibility that he can slow down many pass rushes and force defenses to abandon the blitz. If only Tebow can keep improving his mechanics. Then and only then will he actually have a chance. But until then, keep expecting the same thing with Orton (and possibly Brady Quinn too).

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

NFL 1st Quarter Review : NFC

The 2011 NFL season is 1/4 of the way complete. How have your favorite teams done so far? I'll start with the NFC (by virtue of winning the Super Bowl last season). Tomorrow, the AFC.

NFC East

Washington 3-1 PF 83 PA 63 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1

Analysis: With the problematic Albert Haynesworth gone to the Patriots and the QB drama around Donovan McNabb the Vikings problem, the Redskins are looking great. But there are some issues. While they're win over the Giants is their best yet, they average 3.5 points better than their last 3 games. Despite being 2-1 over that time, their opponents are a combined 3-9. As long as Rex Grossman can improve on his 989 passing yards , 6 TDs without throwing 5 INTs, he should do just fine with the arsenal he has. And with London Fletcher leading the defense, the playoff race is bound to be interesting.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, PHI (1-3), @CAR (1-3), @ BUF (3-1)

What to expect: Be wary of the Eagles. Forget the fact that they are struggling right now. It's a division game and we all know what happens with those. Remember the 59-28 beat down last year at home? Yeah, just be careful of that wounded animal. As far as the Panthers and Bills are concerned, this could be a tough 2nd quarter for the Skins to come.

NY Giants 3-1 PF 102 PA 87 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1

Analysis: Despite the loss opening weekend to the Redskins 28-14, the G-Men have bounced back with 3 straight wins. Eli Manning's 105.6 QBR, along with the defense forcing 6 fumbles (recovering 4) has the New York area hoping for a deep run in the postseason in the near future. Hopefully they will not have a late season collapse like they did in 2009, but you never really know the way this season has gone.

Next 4 weeks: SEA (1-3), BUF (3-1), BYE, MIA (0-4)

What to expect: The Seahawks look easy, but the G-Men can take it to them (assuming they take the Hawks seriously). The new look Bills will be looking for Super Bowl revenge (Super Bowl XXV). Just don't be surprised to see a couple of losses in the next quarter. Especially against the winless Dolphins.

Dallas 2-2 PF 99 PA 101 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1

Analysis: Let's face it, the Cowboys should be 4-0. We can harp on Tony Romo's 4th quarter ineffectiveness all day, but let's not repeat that same old song. In spite of offensive and defensive miscues, the Boys should be happy just to be at .500. The comebacks are not just the quarterback's fault, this is a team game after all. Hope things look better in the 2nd quarter of the season.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @NE (3-1), STL (0-4), @PHI (1-3)

What to expect: If you think that the next two games after the Patriots are a cake walk, think again. If the 4th quarter woes continue... you think Jerry Jones will be looking to Andrew Luck??

Philadelphia 1-3 PF 101 PA 101 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3

Analysis: What's up with the "dream team"? Ever since Michael Vick's return to Atlanta, the Eagles have struggled to say the least. Despite outgaining the opposition 1336-1094, they have managed to commit 3 turnovers (5 INTs, 4 Lost Fumbles) each of those games. Is it time to panic in the City of Brotherly Love? It's a long season, so don't call them a bust just yet.

Next 4 weeks: @BUF (3-1), @WAS (3-1), BYE, DAL (2-2)

What to expect: The Bills game should be a defining game that should supposedly swing the momentum back to the wins column. But their next two divisional opponents are going to be the real test. Don't let the record fool you, this Eagle team could be back on the rise.

NFC North

Detroit 4-0 PF 135 PA 76 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0

Analysis: People have been saying all along that if Matthew Stafford stays healthy, then watch out for the Lions. Even though they were outscored 40-3 in the 1st half in their last two contests, they've outscored the Vikings and Cowboys 57-13 afterwards. Could they go to 16-0 after going 0-16 3 years ago? That would be one hell of a story. Especially since the Tigers are back in the postseason.

Next 4 weeks: CHI (2-2), SF (3-1), ATL (2-2), @DEN (1-3)
What to expect: Just because their next three are at home doesn't mean it's easy. Especially with the Bears. It's a division game, which means that all the numbers don't matter. The 49ers and Falcons are no pushovers either. And if the Broncos actually show up to the game, this could be an interesting next quarter.

Green Bay 4-0 PF 148 PA 97 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0

Analysis: The defending champs are just dominating. Aaron Rodgers ranks 1st in completion percentage (73.1%) and QBR (124.6) while the tandem of James Starks/Ryan Grant average around 4.8 ypc (77 carries). The defense has been great forcing the opposition to turn the ball over 11 times is saying a lot.

Next 4 weeks: @ATL (2-2), STL (0-4), MIN (0-4), BYE

What to expect: At this rate, it may be a while until they lose. The champs are looking good so far. But if I were the Pack, I'd be weary of the Vikings. Just saying.

Chicago 2-2 PF 94 PA 98 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2

Analysis: Now that Mike Martz's play calling authority stripped, the Bears offense can find some balance. In their first three games managed to run the ball 51 times for a grand total of 161 yards. Against the Panthers on Sunday, 31 carries 224 yards. Looks like Jay Cutler might have a chance to play the whole season after all. But the fact that the defense has given up over 24 points a game is a serious concern. Especially for Lovie Smith and his job status.

Next 4 weeks: @DET (4-0), MIN (0-4), @TB(3-1), BYE

What to expect: The next two divisional games will be interesting to see. But I'm interested to see how the offense performs over the next three weeks without Martz and what changes the defense are going to make to improve their playoff odds.

Minnesota 0-4 PF 77 PA 96 Div 0-1 Conf 0-2

Analysis: Even with the changes in personnel, looks like the same ole Vikings team from last year. To be fair they started 1-3, only to finish with a terrible 6-10. Or maybe Donovan McNabb can get his act together and string 12 wins in a row. Not likely to happen, but miracles do happen. Even though the Purple People Eaters win the first half with a score of 61-16, the second half and beyond has been an awful 80-16. Remember, there are two halves to a football game.

Next 4 weeks: ARI (1-3), @CHI (2-2), GB (4-0), @CAR (1-3)

What to expect: If the Vikings can play with some passion and finish off opponents, they could break even by the 2nd quarter. The Cardinals should be easy, but not to be taken too lightly either. They'll have their work cut out for them against the Bears and Packers. The battle between McNabb (or Christian Ponder) and Cam Newton should be fun to watch.

NFC South

Tampa Bay 3-1 PF 84 PA 77 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1

Analysis: If Josh Freeman's first Monday Night game (25-39, 314 total YDS, 2 TDS (1 rushing)) wasn't any indication that the Buccaneers are for real, think again. The fact last year was no fluke is proving to be true. Especially with how young their roster is (only two players over the age of 30), this could be a dangerous team now and in the future to come.

Next 4 weeks: @SF (3-1), NO(3-1), CHI (2-2), BYE

What to expect: We'll have to wait to see what the Bucs can do on short rest when they face the 49ers. Assuming everything goes well, the Saints game will be real fun to watch. Not sure how the Bears D' will handle Freeman, LeGarrette Blount, Preston Parker, Kellen Winslow and the rest of this promising offense.

New Orleans 3-1 PF 127 PA 98 Div 0-0 Conf 1-1

Analysis: It looks like the Saints could be marching into the playoffs for the 3rd straight season. But when it comes down to facing teams that are above .500, they've allowed 75 points. Their lone win was against Houston at home 40-33 in week 3. As far as I'm concerned, the Saints still have Drew Brees at the helm (QBR 102.9), and the tandem of Mark Ingram/Pierre Thomas/Darren Sproles rushing for a combined 454 yards (over 95% of their rushing) to get them in good position to win. The defense will have to step it up if the Saints are going to make a significant playoff run.

Next 4 weeks: @CAR (1-3), @TB (3-1), IND (0-4), @STL (0-4)

What to expect: The next 2 on the road at their divisional rivals is going to be a challenge. Especially with Cam Newton and Josh Freeman doing good in their own right. Don't count the Colts or Rams for that matter. Nothing comes easy these days.

Atlanta 2-2 PF 90 PA 105 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2

Analysis: Don't let the numbers fool you, the Falcons are still a good team. Despite the -15 point differential, they are 11th in passing yards (260.5 ypg) and 10th in rush defense (97.3 ypc). They've hadn't produced a consistent winning yet. Maybe Falcons should face teams that have a bird in their logo, they are 2-0 against them right now.

Next 4 weeks: GB (4-0), CAR (1-3), @DET (4-0), BYE

What to expect: If things keep going the way they are, you can expect the Falcons to go 1-2. Again, the defense will need to step it up to have a chance to make this an undefeated 2nd quarter of the season.

Carolina 1-3 PF 89 PA 102 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3

Analysis: Despite the team record, Cam Newton looks like an early favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year (97-163 1386 yards 5 touchdowns passing, 133 yards and 4 touchdowns rushing). But the Panthers are 31st in rushing defense (143.8 ypc). After a disappointing year last season, it might take some time for new coach Ron Rivera to turn them into winners this time around.

Next 4 weeks: NO (3-1), @ATL (2-2), WAS (3-1), MIN (0-4)

What to expect: This is basically a new team. It wouldn't be a surprise if the split these next 4 games, but don't count on it. As long as Newton doesn't hit that rookie wall, you can expect some more W's in their future.

NFC West

San Francisco 3-1 PF 94 PA 75 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1

Analysis: If you think it's a miracle that the 49ers are in 1st place, then you wouldn't be wrong. New coach Jim Harbaugh has gotten the best out of his talent. Even though the offense is 29th in passing yards (177.5) and 22nd in rushing yards (93.3), the defense has kept them in games. With the NFC West looking like they are going to be a weak division once again, the Niners look like they might be able to get away with that.

Next 4 weeks: TB (3-1), @DET (4-0), BYE, CLE (2-2)

What to expect: All that can be said is that there are going to be tough times ahead. But if they continue their play on defense and get their offensive numbers up... can someone say playoffs?

Seattle 1-3 PF 58 PA 97 Div 1-1 Conf 1-2

Analysis: If the Seahawks think they can go 7-9 and make it to the playoffs, think again. Pete Carroll and the Hawks will need the 12th Man at CenturyLink Field and a much improved offense (28th in passing (186.5 yds) and 31st in rushing (67.5 yds)) to make a second consecutive play appearance under Carroll.

Next 4 weeks: @NYG (3-1), BYE, @CLE (2-2), CIN (2-2)

What to expect: After their near comeback versus the Falcons last week, who really knows what Seahawk team is going to show up. Going up to Cleveland to face against old boss Mike Holmgren's team should be interesting.

Arizona 1-3 PF 86 PA 87 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3

Analysis: Looks like the Kevin Kolb trade is paying off. Yes, he thrown 4 interceptions, but his 80-130 1049 yards and 5 touchdowns have not hurt the Cardinals at all. 23 of those completions have gone to Larry Fitzgerald with 2 of them going for touchdowns. So why are the football Red Birds 2 games under .500? Being 26th in passing defense (282.2 yards) could be it.
Next 4 weeks: @MIN (0-4), BYE, PIT (2-2), @BAL (3-1)

What to expect: If the Vikings can figure out how to close out a game, the Cardinals could be 1-6. And that's factoring if the Steelers O-Line holds true and the Ravens stay consistent. Other than that, don't hold your breath Cardinal fans.

St. Louis 0-4 PF 46 PA 113 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3

Analysis: Looks like the Rams are going through a sophomore slump with Sam Bradford under center this season (2-2 last season). They finally had a decent outing against the Redskins losing by 7. But their first 3, they lost by an average of 20 points. Something's gotta give.

Next 4 weeks: BYE, @GB (4-0), @DAL (2-2), NO (3-1)

What to expect: If Bradford can get back to 100% and the anemic offense and defense can get their act together, expect some upsets. They have the talent and they have the depth, it's time for some winning to occur.

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Monday, September 26, 2011

Hypathetical #2

I'd like to offer my apologies to UMass and South Alabama. I totally forgot to put them in my last post. Had I not got caught up in the excitement, I would've realized that there were two more members of the FBS. Plus I'm from Texas and all that was publicized were Texas State and UTSA.
To make it up to the Minutemen and Jaguar fans, I'll compose another super conference list that is absolutely ridiculous. And if anyone read my last post, just remember my wife is holding my manhood hostage because some crazy NCAA executive with a gun is power hungry and wants a monopoly. My imaginary wife is really hot and sweet and she wouldn't be doing this under any other circumstance. Then again this whole thing is my imagination, so here we go... AGAIN!!

()= Means current conference

ACC
Boston College
Buffalo (MAC)
Duke
Marshall (C-USA)
Maryland
Penn State (Big 10)
Pitt (Big East)
Rutgers (Big East)
Syracuse (Big East)
Temple (MAC)
UConn (Big East)
UMass (CAA)
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
West Virginia (Big East)

Explanation: Let's face it, the Big East is dead. The only two official schools leaving the Big East are Pitt and Syracuse. But why not take West Virginia and UConn just to make things more interesting. Add Marshall for a little West Virginia flavoring. Let's subtract NC State, North Carolina and Miami. And let's unite the Pennsylvania schools for a some more fun. We know that UMass will officially be joining the MAC next year. But as you'll see, I'm going to try to make the conferences more regional.

C-USA
Arkansas (SEC)
Illinois (Big 10)
Iowa (Big 10)
Iowa State (Big 12)
Kansas (Big 12)
Kansas State (Big 12)
Minnesota (Big 10)
Missouri (Big 12)
Nebraska (Big 10)
Northern Illinois (MAC)
Northwestern (Big 10)
Oklahoma (Big 12)
Oklahoma State (Big 12)
Purdue (Big 10)
Tulsa
Wisconsin (Big 10)

Explanation: It's just un-American to remove Conference USA. Shouldn't they have some teams to brag about?

MAC
Akron
Ball State
Bowling Green
Central Michigan
Cincinnati (Big East)
Eastern Michigan
Indiana (Big 10)
Kent State
Miami OH
Michigan (Big 10)
Michigan State (Big 10)
Notre Dame (Independent)
Ohio
Ohio State (Big 10)
Toledo
Western Michigan

Explanation: What's the point of calling them "Big" conferences anyway? Besides a MAC is not big, it's large. So let's just drop the gimmick already

Mt. West/WAC
Arizona (PAC 12)
Arizona State (PAC 12)
Boise State (MWC)
Colorado (PAC 12)
Colorado State (MWC)
Idaho (WAC)
Nevada (WAC)
New Mexico (MWC)
New Mexico State (WAC)
UNLV (MWC)
Utah (PAC 12)
Utah State (WAC)
UTEP (C-USA)
Wyoming (MWC)

Explanation: I just like the name MWAC and the fact that all the schools are in the same time zone is a huge bonus. Not that this conference has a shot in hell of being created.

PAC 12
California
Fresno State (WAC)
Hawaii (WAC)
Oregon
Oregon State
San Diego State (MWC)
San Jose State (WAC)
Stanford
UCLA
USC
Washington
Washington State

Explanation: Qualifications- Home State must touch the Pacific Ocean and have a minimum of 12 teams. Check and check.

SEC
Clemson (ACC)
ECU (C-USA)
Florida
Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
Florida International (Sun Belt)
Florida State (ACC)
Georgia
Georgia Tech (ACC)
Miami (ACC)
North Carolina (ACC)
North Carolina State (ACC)
South Carolina
UCF (C-USA)
USF (Big East)

Explanation: The SEC wants to go to 14 teams. Just tryin' to help.

SWC
Baylor (Big 12)
Houston (C-USA)
Louisiana Tech (WAC)
LSU (SEC)
North Texas (Sun Belt)
Rice (C-USA)
SMU (C-USA)
TCU (MWC)
Texas (Big 12)
Texas A&M (Big 12)
Texas State (FCS Independent)
Texas Tech (Big 12)
Tulane (C-USA)
ULL (Sun Belt)
ULM (Sun Belt)
UTSA (FCS Independent)

Explanation: A) The rivalry between Texas and Louisiana is pretty intense. B) After the Big XII mess, it kinda makes me miss the old Southwest Conference. But we all know that TCU is going to the Big East. A&M is heading to the SEC. Texas State and UTSA are members of the WAC next year. And everyone is staying put. Oh well.

Sun Belt
Alabama (SEC)
Arkansas State
Auburn (SEC)
Kentucky (SEC)
Louisville (Big East)
Memphis (C-USA)
Middle Tennessee
Mississippi State (SEC)
Ole Miss (SEC)
South Alabama (FCS Independent)
Southern Miss (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
Troy
UAB (C-USA)
Vanderbilt (SEC)
Western Kentucky

Explanation: It took some doing, but I finally got a new FBS school in the right conference. But it would make sense if all the teams relocated by region.

FBS Independents
Air Force (MWC)
Army
BYU
Navy

Explanation: They fight our wars for us, should we drag these two into this petty conflict? I don't think so. They have better things to worry about than what bowl game they're going to. And just in case we have a Mormon that wins the presidency... let's just leave em alone. At any rate, God bless you all.

Relax sports fans, it's highly unlikely to happen. However, if it happens....well... DAMN I'M GOOD!!! I still don't seeing that coming to fruition anytime soon... thank God.

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

NCAA Football 2012 in the Hypathetical

Yes folks, the pun is intended. It really is sad that the FBS is going in this direction, but who can do anything about it? If I were up to me, there might be some small changes, but these mega conferences would not happen. One of those changes would be to eliminate the term AQ conference. And the only way I would ever go with this idea would be if someone from the NCAA held my wife at gunpoint and told her to chop my balls off if I didn't comply. So put that evil blade down and get that gun away from her and I'll play along. So here we go.

Currently, there are 120 schools that play in the FBS. Six conferences(the ACC, Big East, Big 10, Big 12, PAC 12 and SEC) automatically qualify for a BCS bid. This means that Conference USA, the MAC, Mountain West, Sun Belt and WAC have to pull a miracle to get a shot for a national title. And let's not forget Notre Dame, Navy, Army and BYU are on their own this season.

Next season, there will be two new teams (Texas State and UTSA) that will be joining the FBS and the fact that many conferences will be realigning like crazy, it looks like drastic changes will be happening. Here's how the conferences would shape up next year... in a sad, pathetic way.

ACC
Boston College
Clemson
Duke
Florida State
Georgia Tech
Maryland
Miami (FL)
North Carolina
North Carolina State
Pittsburgh
Syracuse
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest

Explanation: Pitt and Syracuse are officially joining according to the events over this weekend. Of course they could add UConn and Rutgers later on, but who knows?

Big East/Big 12
Baylor
Cincinnati
Iowa State
Kansas
Kansas State
Louisville
Missouri
Notre Dame
Rutgers
Temple
UConn
USF

Explanation: The Big 12 will probably keep its namesake in this move. Notre Dame will be forced to join in as they are members of the Big East in everything else. West Virginia will most likely be the 14th team for the SEC. And if this new conference is wanting to tap into the Philly market, Temple would be a good start. Assuming Villanova decides to no to join in of course. Since the MAC is not a great source of exposure for them in football, plus Temple is not in the middle of America. TCU might come (Big East 2012), but that's too early to tell with the way everything is going.

Big 10
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Wisconsin

Explanation: Looks like they're happy... for the moment.

C-USA
East Carolina
Houston
Marshall
Memphis
Rice
SMU
Southern Miss
Tulane
Tulsa
UAB
USF
UTEP

Explanation: In a world where everything is changing around them, Conference USA stays the same. And maybe when Hell freezes over, they could be an BCS automatic berth conference.

MAC
Akron
Ball State
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Kent State
Miami (OH)
Northern Illinois
Ohio
Toledo
Western Michigan

Explanation: Maybe I'm OCD or something, but having 12 teams makes sense. Or I just like things in even numbers. I'm still trying to figure why the hell I would say Temple is not considered Mid-American and Buffalo is. Go figure.

Mt. West/WAC
Air Force
Boise State
BYU
Colorado State
Fresno State
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
New Mexico
New Mexico State
San Diego State
San Jose State
TCU
UNLV
Utah State
Wyoming

Explanation: This conference is as farfetched as "________". In all likelihood, this just ain't happening. But for fun, BYU's independent run is a one year deal. TCU stays put and part of the condition for them staying is to let Louisiana Tech go. As far as Texas State and UTSA is concerned, there is no WAC to join. It could be called the Mountain Western Athletic Conference or MWAC for short. If this actually happens, then imagination land is real.

PAC 16
Arizona
Arizona State
California
Colorado
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
Texas
Texas Tech
UCLA
USC
Utah
Washington
Washington State

Explanation: Just something I heard on the news. Will this actually happen?

SEC
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
LSU
Mississippi State
Ole Miss
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas A&M
Vanderbilt
West Virginia

Explanation: It's just a rumor. This would be an interesting concept to see how this all works out for these two schools.

Sun Belt
Arkansas State
FAU
FIU
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee
North Texas
Texas State
Troy
ULL
ULM
UTSA
Western Kentucky

Explanation: I know it looks like another OCD fantasy, but it does make sense geographically.

FBS Independents
Army
Navy

Explanation: They fight our wars for us, should we drag these two into this petty conflict? I don't think so. They have better things to worry about than what bowl game they're going to. God bless you all.

And you can follow both posts on Twitter.

There you have it. With everything going the way it is, who really knows why this happening. Some of this is rumored while others have been confirmed to be occurring next school year. But it's all fantasy until it really happens.

Friday, September 16, 2011

Texas: The New East Coast State

I know it's been a couple of months have passed since I last wrote. During that stretch, I've had nothing to say...REALLY!!! That is until now.

I could've said something about the NBA strike. But I've already had my say (sort of). Besides it's like beating a dead horse with a stick so often that PETA would be raising hell. Speaking of PETA, how about writing about Michael Vick. First of all, he did the crime and served his time... move on already!!! Second, Vick has not made the same mistakes since being released from prison 2 years ago. And third, yes I read the article about if Vick would've been white. I'll wait 'til the Super Bowl before I make some comment. At any rate, it's all old news that needs to quit being recycled.

But there has been something happening in Texas that is disturbing. Not one, but two Texas FBS schools are going to east coast conferences. That's right folks, we have TCU going to the Big East and Texas A&M on their way to the SEC (assuming the schools don't pursue litigation). It's really ironic that these two used to be members of the former Southwest Conference. Given the circumstances, it's really not a shock at all. In essence, TCU wants to be a school that automatically qualifies for a BCS bowl. The Aggies are not big fans of the Longhorn Network. Again, not a surprise at all. It's just flat out weird.

Growing up in Texas meant that you were tougher than someone from the east or west coast. Anyone can argue toughness, but I'm from Texas and believe me when I say this... it just is something that is burned in your memory. Not anymore people.

When TCU played in the Rose Bowl earlier this year, it was apparent that the BCS is rigged...AGAIN!!! Yes there were two other undefeated teams in Oregon and Auburn, but they played AQ conferences and go to play for the national championship. TCU is in the Mountain West and they are not an AQ conference. I'll get to that at a later time to say why the Horned Frogs were screwed out of a title. So going to the Big East next school year makes since to a degree.

The Big 12 had already lost 2 schools. Colorado went to the PAC-12, while Nebraska went to the Big Ten. Both of these moves made sense because of the geography. For Texas A&M, moving to the SEC makes no sense in terms of regional logistics. But if you were in their shoes, could you blame them for wanting to leave. Why??

For the last several months, ESPN has been pushing the Longhorn Network. And if you guessed that only the University of Texas benefits from this deal, you would be right. This would make one to believe that there would be a mass exodus from the Big 12. But only A&M has shown any passion about leaving. And if you don't know the rivalry between the Horns and Aggies, then you must be living under a rock or something. We'll have to see if the Big 12 can be salvaged or not in the coming weeks.

Having one Texas school going to an east coast conference is one thing. But two? This is too damn weird for me. I might need a Lone Star beer to give me a true feeling of the Texas I used to know. Hell, I might need a keg or two to get over this.

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Surprise me if you can

On a scale from 1(hardly shocked) to 10 (caught me off guard), where do these past, current or future events rank.

The Atlanta Thrashers becoming the new Winnipeg Jets?
3. Low attendance, ownership not putting a total effort in marketing the team. Can't say I'm shocked. But to lose a second hockey team to Canada (the Flames left for Calgary in 1980), that is a bit surprising.

Mark Cuban actually owning an MLB team?
10. If I were a player, I would want to be working for this guy. If I were a commissioner, you would need this guy. Why? Cuban reminds me a little bit of Jack Bauer of 24, the bosses might not like his tactics, but he gets positive results. With all those years with George Steinbrenner, how could you go wrong with Cuban? If you look at his track record with what the Dallas Mavericks before and after he purchased them, you wouldn't bat an eyelash. I am so tired of this McCourt divorce drama already, let him buy the Dodgers. Things would be interesting in more ways than anyone can imagine.

Tiger Woods getting a tournament win this year?
1. It's not the divorce that's been affecting his game, it's the injuries. Like most sports, the lower body is very important. And with Tiger's injuries to his knees and Achilles tendon, his game will suffer until he gets himself healthy. All of the discretions that have mired his personal life shouldn't be the issue anymore. But there's always a chance that it could still be the other half of his struggles. Regardless, I wouldn't be surprised if he came back better than ever.

Charlie Sheen admitting to using steroids for his role as Ricky "Wild Thing" Vaughn in Major League?
0. Given Sheen's drug history, is there really any shock value to that? The only way this could've been a 10 was if Bob Uecker admitted to HGH use for his role as Harry Doyle.

Qatar hosting the World Cup in 2022?
4. Usually host nations are bigger in terms of land mass. Looking at Qatar, it's really not that big of a shock that they are hosting. They do have quite a bit of economic resources that makes them desirable in every way, shape and form. Give it 11 years and it won't be a surprise as to why they were selected.

Novak Djokovic as the Wimbledon champion?
5. He's had an impressive win streak to start this year. And from what I saw in his last few tournaments, Nole isn't the same guy he used to be. It was more of a surprise to see Rafa Nadal look like he was a step behind.

The Houston Astros being rumored to move to the AL West?
7. The Stros have been a staple in the NL for close to 50 years now. It doesn't make sense demographically anyway. MLB could move the Diamondbacks or the Rockies to the AL and move the Astros to the NL West. Why Colorado or Arizona? A) Having a Texas team in both leagues in the western market would be bring greater revenue. B) An Astros-Rangers World Series will generate lots more interest in the state. There were the Yankees-Giants, A's-Giants, Yankees-Mets and Angels-Giants, so why not the only two MLB teams in the Lone Star State? C) Having the D-Backs win another title as an AL team would be a positive historic occurrence that is so needed. D) The Rockies should've been in the other league when expansion occurred in 1993. E) Both Colorado (1993) and Arizona (1998) haven't been there as long as the Astros (1962). Don't mess with tradition.

NBA players preparing to jump overseas as a contingency?
1. Let's review shall we. The lockout has been going on since June 30th. Both sides are still far apart with no timetable as to when a resolution will develop. Billy Hunter encouraging players to do what they have to do. But there are bigger issues to worry about than what players are going to do if there is no season in the NBA. If Clark Gable were still alive he would say, "Frankly, my dear, I don't give a damn". My sentiments exactly.

Friday, July 8, 2011

Big Zeke and the Curious Case of the NBA Strike

Sometime in the future, the NBA will resume operations. Whether that time comes very soon or much later is another matter. The only thing that anyone can do in the mean time is speculate. So while we wait, there are some things can do. We could watch some baseball. Or maybe watch the women's soccer team go for the gold. But if you're looking for just basketball, there's always the WNBA heaven forbid. Those things and many others will have to do until the lockout gets figured out.

The lockout for all we know has many details. One of those issues that I want to touch on is the salary cap. We all know that there are some owners who want a hard cap, while others still feel that the cap should remain the way it is. As usual, there are teams who are making claims that they are losing money. Until there is proof of such, we'll just have to see how this all plays out.

For the 30 franchises in the 28 media markets, they better hope that no regular season games are missed or there will be hell to pay. The last thing that the owners need is a loss of revenue. Just ask the MLB and NHL executives how long it took to recover. Or maybe the investors should learn from the last players strike that happened over a decade ago.

All anyone knows is that every labor strike in the history of America has been about the division of assets. The real question is what percentage is considered a fair deal. As times change, so does the value of the employee. That's always been and always will be the issue.

That goes for anyone running a team. To win championships on a consistent basis, you need to have these 3 things; players who can coexist, coaches and personnel who can devise a strategy that fits the players abilities, and of course owners who pay a fair value. In due time, your favorite team will be a dynasty. So let me ask you this, "What is the true value of a player?" Yes, that is the question we must all answer.

Disclaimer: If you're a Knicks fan, you probably don't want to read the next several paragraphs. Either you don't want to be reminded of the last decade again or you already know all the stats that it would be redundant. But since you've come this far, you might as well read on. Just don't feel obliged.

You have to ask yourself, how could you do any worst than Scott Layden? He was the executive who helped build the Jazz into a postseason threat during his time there. At least the guy could prove that he could make the right moves. Sadly, it never worked out for him in NYC. But to answer the question, you could do worst by hiring Isiah Thomas.

As any casual sports fan can tell you, Thomas is one of the best point guards in NBA history. His success from winning a national championship for the Indiana Hoosiers was no fluke. In his 13 seasons with the Pistons, he made 3 NBA Finals appearances and brought the Motor City's first two titles in professional basketball. For that, he became a 1st ballot hall of famer in 2000. However, success as a player doesn't translate as an executive. Or even as a coach.

After Thomas retired as a player in 1994, he would become the first executive vice president for the expansion Toronto Raptors. When the Raptors began play in 1995 until he left on November 22, 1997, they were 52-123 (.292). He did draft the team's 1st ever Rookie of the Year in Damon Stoudamire along with Marcus Camby and Tracy McGrady.

And then came the ownership of the Continental Basketball Association from 1998-2000. The league went into bankruptcy which would lead Thomas to his next stop, Indianapolis. When Larry Bird left, Zeke took the coaching reigns. While Bird coached the Pacers to their first and only NBA Finals (2000), Thomas pretty much kept the ball going. Despite 3 underperforming playoff appearances, the Pacers would be 131-115 (.533) under Thomas. All of those instances would lead to James Dolan and his decision.

On December 22, 2003, the 10-18 New York Knicks would hire Thomas to be their president of basketball operations. Sure it all started well when they finished the season 29-25 and made the playoffs. But as history will tell you, it didn't end well. They had two coaching legends in Lenny Wilkens and Larry Brown, and still couldn't produce results. In 2006, Dolan issued an ultimatum, show improvement or kiss your job goodbye. While Thomas helped improve the team's win total by 10 games, the next season they dropped back to Brown's win total in his only season (23). In April of 2008, Thomas was not retained and he would no longer be a physical presence in the front office or the sidelines.

But Thomas' impact on the team would linger for some time. Sometimes it looked like he made some great acquisitions with Vin Baker, Jalen Rose, Steve Francis, Maurice Taylor , Penny Hardaway just to name a few, these guys were in the twilight of their careers and would be trade pieces or ended up being released. Besides some of them didn't last more than 2 1/2 seasons, but still a major impact on the Knicks' salary cap. What I am focusing on are the 4 players who he brought on that ironically put the NBA in its present state today.

January 5, 2004 the Knicks worked a trade to deliver Coney Island legend Stephon Marbury from the Suns for Antonio McDyess and some other players. Marbury played 536 games (missing only 6 starts) averaging 20.5 points, 8.2 assists, 3.2 turnovers and 1.3 steals a game for the Timberwolves, Nets and Suns. Which prompted Suns management before the beginning 2003-04 season to sign Marbury to a 4 year $76.8 million extension. All signs looked great as the Knicks showed improvement.

Here's the thing that Thomas didn't take into consideration. There was a reason why Marbury was getting traded every 2 or 3 years. He wanted to be the star. Nothing wrong with that attitude, but when you have trust issues, that's when problems happen. The season after Marbury was traded from Minnesota, the Wolves went 50-32 (.610) compared to the 89-78 (.533) during his 2+ seasons he was there. Let's not forget his time in East Rutherford. Despite having his best season in 2000-01 where he averaged 23.9 points, 7.6 assists and 3.2 rebounds a game, the Nets never won more than 31 games. After he was swapped to the Suns for Jason Kidd, the Nets made it to the finals in back to back seasons. His stay in Phoenix was kind of the same except they did make the playoffs in what would be his final full season for them in 2002-03.

But his longing for the Knicks along with the Suns losing made Marbury a pest to management. Zeke eyeing an opportunity to bring a big name to the team, acquired the disgruntled player. Again the Suns improved and the team with Marbury suffered. During the longest stint of his career with one team, Marbury averaged 18.2 points, 7 assists, 2.7 turnovers and 1.2 steals in 287 games. Thomas must've thought that Marbury's homecoming season where he finished with 19.8 points per game and had a 3:1 turnover would be a good sign. However, this was a sign that the worst was coming for both these guys.

Let's start with August 2, 2005, one of the worst days to be a New York Knick. Jerome James had a career year in the 2005 playoffs averaging 12.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.8 blocks in 11 games. Despite posting a 5.1 point, 2.1 rebound and 1.3 block average in 252 games for Seattle, James helped get himself a lucrative deal. And thanks to Zeke, he got his payday with a 5 year $29 million deal. James would average 3.1 points and 2.1 rebounds in his first season.

Sadly, he was not any more productive. James' averaged 2.5 points, 1.8 rebounds and 0.6 blocks during his 89 games. What's sad is that when Thomas became the coach, he was a benchwarmer and with Mike D'Antoni, he was nowhere to be found.

The sign and trade of Eddy Curry later on would be an insurance policy. Curry was part of the baby Bulls era where he and Tyson Chandler were going to be the next Twin Towers of the NBA. Curry turned out to be an underachiever throughout his time in Chicago. He averaged 11.8 points, 0.9 blocks and 4.9 rebounds in 289 games. While it looked like Curry was making a turnaround in 2004-05 season averaging 16.1 points and 5.4 rebounds a game, something bad happened. It turned out that he had heart issues. The Bulls wanted him to get a DNA test to see if his condition was congenital, but Curry refused. Did that stop Thomas...NOOOO!!!

Curry who felt like he was going to get screwed by management decided to give the Knicks a chance. So they arranged an sign and trade deal worth $56 million over 6 years and was dealt on October 24th. While he looked like he was improved at times, he was still as inconsistent as was with the Bulls. In 2006-07, Curry started and played in all but one game and averaged 19.5 points and 7 rebounds. For the 222 games he played for New York, he averaged 15.2 points and 5.8 rebounds. But he saw a decline in playing time and proved he was still a defensive liability.

Jared Jeffries just like Thomas was an Indiana Hoosier. And just like Zeke he played in the national championship. So when the Wizards selected Jeffries as the 11th overall pick in 2002, they had hopes that he was going to be something special. He just turned out to be a decent player that was injury prone. In the 2004-05 season, Jeffries averaged 6.8 points and 2.9 rebounds in 77 games. But it was the following season that caught Thomas's eye. He played in the same number of games but started 6 more games. His numbers did take a slight dip, but it was in the playoffs that Jeffries began to shine. In the 2006 playoffs he averaged 8 points and 6.2 rebounds in 6 games.

So that prompted Zeke to sign Jeffries for 5 years $30 million. While he was a restricted free agent, the Wizards decided to let the Knicks have him. Unfortunately, the story was the same for Jeffries. He had a hard time staying healthy, but when he was, he worked hard. In 2008-09 he averaged 8.1 points and pulled down 6.3 rebounds in 56 games.

Hopefully I made my point about the owners being liable for this strike happening. People will say if the players weren't so greedy about taking these huge contracts, then this would not be happening. But do you expect the players NOT to pass up that kind of opportunity? If you do, then you must be having the best time in Imaginationland. A lot of people would love to get a multi-million dollar contract to be unproductive. But make sure you work hard and maybe you'll be the lucky one.

Like I said before, to be a dynasty, everyone on the team needs to be on the same page. On top of that, owners need to quit giving loads of money to talent that won't give their teams a prosperous return in their investment. It's always a crapshoot finding talent that will make the team better, but COME ON!!! You people have the money, find some personnel that knows how to recruit talent and hire them. And also, don't be afraid to pay your players their fair market value.