Here is how the AFC fared in the 1st quarter of the season. Next quarterly review will be after week 8 so keep on the look out.
AFC East
Buffalo 3-1 PF 133 PA 96 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1
Analysis: It's all looking good for the Bills at the moment. It looks like they have stability at the quarterback position with Ryan Fitzpatrick (92-145 1040 yds 9 tds). With the exception of a blow out win at the Chiefs (41-7) in week 1, the Bills should be grateful for not being 1-3 right now. Against the Raiders and Patriots, the Bills were outscored 42-13 in the 1st half. But they came back from behind to outscore them by a total of 59-24, winning each contest by a late field goal. Of course, the Bills got a taste of their own medicine last week (Bills 17-3 1st half + Bengals 20-3 2nd half= Bengals 23 Bills 20).
Next 4 weeks: PHI (1-3), @NYG (3-1), BYE, WAS (3-1)
What to expect: Hopefully that slip at Cincinnati doesn't set the table for a 4 game losing streak. But if they can continue to be resilient in the tough games like they were in Weeks 2 & 3, the Bills can put themselves in good position to win the division.
New England 3-1 PF 135 PA 98 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: This is what you expect of the Patriots at the beginning of the season. OK, maybe not tied with the Bills for 1st place with one loss...but still. Tom Brady is still Tom Brady (109-163 1553 yds 13 tds), even with 5 interceptions. Brady's main targets Wes Welker (40 rec 616 yds 5 tds) and Rob Gronkowski (18 rec 5 tds) have been very productive. But the pass defense is very suspect right now. They dead last in the league allowing an average of 368.8 yards. It's still early folks.
Next 4 weeks: NYJ (2-2), DAL (2-2), BYE, @PIT (2-2)
What to expect: With the Jets, Cowboys and Steelers struggling to find their identity right now, this looks like the Pats can go 3-0 easy. But the Jets could repeat their performance from last year's AFC Divisional game (28-21). The Cowboys might find a way to keep their momentum in the 4th quarter of games and the Steelers offensive line might find some chemistry. Don't want to take anything for granted at this junction in the season.
NY Jets 2-2 PF 100 PA 95 Div 0-0 Conf 1-2
Analysis: The Jets looked like they might be off to their typical fast start. But those first two wins were at MetLife Stadium winning on average by 16. Being away from home has proven to be a disaster losing by a combined 27 points in their last 2 games. It looks like this next quarter of the season won't get any easier. Stay tuned.
Next 4 weeks: @NE (3-1), MIA (0-4), SD (3-1), BYE
What to expect: Who knows what can happen after this quarter. We all are aware of the history between the Pats and Jets. The Dolphins come for a visit on Monday night. Could be another classic. And the Chargers could easily beat them bad if the J-E-T-S don't make adjustments and soon.
Miami 0-4 PF 69 PA 104 Div 0-1 Conf 0-4
Analysis: The way this season has gone for the Dolphins, it's not really a shock to see them winless. Except for the game in Cleveland, the Phins have lost by double digits to start off this season. Tony Sparano's job may be safe for now, but with the way things are trending, we could be seeing a new coach taking his talents to South Beach sooner rather than later.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @NYJ (2-2), DEN (1-3),@NYG (3-1)
What to expect: Will the Monday Night game be enough to save Sparano's job? Time will tell if the Dolphins will make a significant enough of an improvement, otherwise, there will be an interim tag on someone after the 17th.
AFC North
Baltimore 3-1 PF 119 PA 57 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: With the exception of the Titans game, the Ravens have rolled over everyone by an average of 25 points. As Ray Lewis has said before, "defense wins championships". The Ravens are in the top 10 in 3 defensive categories. They are ranked 2nd in points allowed (57), 3rd in opponents rushing ypg (72.5) and 9th in opponents passing ypg (212). Their rushing attack hasn't been bad either with Ray Rice and Ricky Williams contributing to the 123.8 ypg (3rd best in NFL).
Next 4 weeks: BYE, HOU (3-1), @JAX (1-3), ARI (1-3)
What to expect: This looks like an easy win given three possibilities. 1) Andre Johnson should be in his second week out with an injury and the Texans secondary still has some issues. 2) Blaine Gabbert is almost a lock to get bullied by the Ravens defense. 3) The Cardinals offense could be facing the same issues as the Jaguars might. At any rate, the Ravens D is going to face an uphill battle.
Cincinnati 2-2 PF 80 PA 74 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: No Carson Palmer? No Chad Ochocinco? No problem. With the Steelers O-Line issues and the Browns being inconsistent, the Bengals can make a case for most improved team right now. Of course last year at this point, they were 2-2. Yet they closed out the season 2-10. If the Bengals can remain resilient like they were in their wins against Cleveland and Buffalo, then they can be the sleeper pick for a Wild Card.
Next 4 weeks: @JAX (1-3), IND (0-4), BYE , SEA (1-3)
What to expect: While the schedule looks easy and their defense can help keep games close, they still have a rookie quarterback. Andy Dalton has looked impressive so far, (72-124 868 yds ) he has just as many touchdowns as he does interceptions (4). Don't be surprised to see some dropoff in the upcoming schedule.
Cleveland 2-2 PF 74 PA 93 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Colt McCoy is doing just fine (100-172 984 yds 6 tds). Their rushing attack could use a kick in the pants (27th in the NFL averaging 85.8 per game). The coaching drama with Eric Mangini is gone and the Browns should be fine with Pat Shurmur at the helm. The season's still young, and the Browns can still be that sleeper team experts claimed they'd be.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @OAK (2-2), SEA (1-3), @SF (3-1)
What to expect: Assuming Josh Cribbs and Peyton Hillis get back on the mends after the bye week, this team could dominate this next quarter of the season. Otherwise, they'll have the same result as this past quarter.
Pittsburgh 2-2 PF 64 PA 72 Div 0-1 Conf 1-2
Analysis: If anyone can feel Jay Cutler's pain this season, it would be Ben Roethlisberger. If the offensive line can stay healthy, the Steelers could've been on top of the division by now. The Steel Curtain is still intact, but if the offense doesn't improve, there will be no playoff appearance this season.
Next 4 weeks: TEN (3-1), JAX (1-3), @ARI (1-3), NE (3-1)
What to expect: This looks like it has the potential of a 1st quarter repeat (loss to Baltimore, won against Seattle and Indianapolis, loss to Houston). But with the aforementioned issues that lie ahead, I'm not really sure what to expect.
AFC South
Houston 3-1 PF 107 PA 70 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0
Analysis: If the Texans know one thing, it's that they should not get their hopes up. Arian Foster has missed time with hamstring issues, but came back versus the Steelers with a vengeance (30 carries 155 yds and a touchdown). But now Andre Johnson has a hamstring injury that will sideline him for the next three weeks. As long as the new 3-4 defense introduced by new coordinator Wade Phillips can continue to work, the Texan fans can breathe a little easier.
Next 4 weeks: OAK (2-2), @BAL (3-1), @TEN (3-1), JAX (1-3)
What to expect: We'll have to see how the Texans can function without Johnson for the next 3 weeks. As long as they don't lose Foster again nor Matt Schaub and Owen Daniels at any point, the offense should be clicking. What really should be more worrisome than the Raiders and Ravens are the Titans and Jaguars. Momentum could shift sharply if the Texans don't take care of business.
Tennessee 3-1 PF 88 PA 56 Div 0-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: The team formerly known as the Houston Oilers have done surprisingly well. While they are doing great on the defensive side of the ball, the offense needs improvement if they are going to keep the positive momentum going. The passing game has done well, but with Chris Johnson as the featured tailback, you'd think that they would fare better in rushing yards. But they're not (66.8 ypc (last in the NFL)).
Next 4 weeks: @PIT (2-2), BYE, HOU (3-1), IND (0-4)
What to expect: This could be a challenging stretch for the Titans over the next 3 games. That's assuming Matt Hasselbeck gets injured and Jake Locker will have a trial under fire. And if their rushing attack doesn't become more efficient, that 1st quarter success will be merely a flash in the pan.
Jacksonville 1-3 PF 39 PA 85 Div 1-0 Conf 1-1
Analysis: How is it that team averages under 10 points a game still be in the race for the divisional lead? A good defense is a starting point. The Jaguars are 14th passing defense (228.8 allowed) and 16th against the rush (107 allowed). But being last in passing (137.5 ypg) is not going to keep anyone in the race for long.
Next 4 weeks: CIN (2-2), @PIT (2-2), BAL (3-1), @HOU (3-1)
What to expect: The Jags are going to be facing some of the best pass defenses in the league during this stretch. But if Blaine Gabbert can get some more experience, the offense will be just as good as the defense.
Indianapolis 0-4 PF 63 PA 108 Div 0-1 Conf 0-3
Analysis: I wonder if there is a quarterback controversy with the Colts this season? We all know they miss Peyton Manning, but he may not be back this season. While Kerry Collins' number have looked good (48-98 481 yds 2 tds), Curtis Painter has looked better running the offense (18-41 341 yds 2 tds). At any rate, no Manning means that the offense needs adjustment. The defensive numbers don't look good, but if the offense can sustain some drives, it wouldn't be an issue.
Next 4 weeks: KC (1-3), @CIN (2-2), @NO (3-1), @TEN (3-1)
What to expect: There is no rest for the weary Colts at this juncture. If coach Jim Caldwell decides to stick with Painter, I could probably see the Colts splitting this upcoming quarter. But we'll have to see.
AFC West
San Diego 3-1 PF 91 PA 85 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: The Chargers are leading the division to nobody's surprise. Philip Rivers performance in the 1st quarter of the season (107-157 1286 yds 5 tds)has the denizens of San Diego thinking playoffs. Does it really matter if Nate Kaeding is on IR and Antonio Gates has not performed up to par (8 rec 74 yds ). Besides, things get more interesting in the 2nd half of the season anyway.
Next 4 weeks: @DEN (1-3), BYE, @NYJ (2-2), @KC (1-3)
What to expect: I really want to say this going to be easy for the Bolts, but given their history... not feeling it. Going on the road to your divisional rivals is a daunting task. And if going on the road to the Jets is going to be a walk in the park, then you might be right. It'll be a walk in the park in the bad part of town.
Oakland 2-2 PF 111 PA 113 Div 1-0 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Despite their record so far, the Raiders look like they're committed to excellence once again. Yes, Al Davis is still alive and doing well now that the Silver and Black are showing some promise. They are the best rushing attack in the league averaging 178.8 yards per game. But with a new coach (Hue Jackson) comes some of the pains of adjustment.
Next 4 weeks: @HOU (3-1), CLE (2-2), KC (1-3), BYE
What to expect: It's going to be easy to see how well the Raiders will fair over this next quarter. I could see them catching on, but not until the later part of the season.
Kansas City 1-3 PF 49 PA 126 Div 0-1 Conf 0-2
Analysis: Just because Charlie Weis is at the University of Florida doesn't mean the rest of the offensive schemes have to go there too. If it weren't for the Jaguars (39) and Rams (46), the Chiefs would be dead last in points scored. Not forgetting to mention they are 30th in passing yards (159.8). And the defense could do better too.
Next 4 weeks: @IND (0-4), BYE, OAK (2-2), SD (3-1)
What to expect: Even if the Chiefs have Thomas Jones, they will surely miss Jamal Charles (12 carries 6.9 ypc )who's on IR. Jones is averaging less than 3 yards per carry and has not scored a rushing touchdown. This coming quarter will really test the Chiefs' ability to sustain good consistency .
Denver 1-3 PF 81 PA 111 Div 0-1 Conf 0-3
Analysis: Like I said about the Steelers, if your O-Line isn't working correctly, then your offense isn't going to sustain drives. That is the case for the 2011 Denver Broncos as we speak. While they are performing better than some teams, being 24th in passing (224) and 26th in rushing (86.8) is nothing to cheer about either. Drafting Von Miller has turned out to be a blessing as many have predicted (16 tackles and 4 sacks).
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @MIA (0-4), DET (4-0), @OAK (2-2)
What to expect: Inserting Tim Tebow in for Kyle Orton may not solve the offensive woes. But there is that possibility that he can slow down many pass rushes and force defenses to abandon the blitz. If only Tebow can keep improving his mechanics. Then and only then will he actually have a chance. But until then, keep expecting the same thing with Orton (and possibly Brady Quinn too).
And you can follow both posts on Twitter. Follow @the_rtp_blog
Wednesday, October 5, 2011
Tuesday, October 4, 2011
NFL 1st Quarter Review : NFC
The 2011 NFL season is 1/4 of the way complete. How have your favorite teams done so far? I'll start with the NFC (by virtue of winning the Super Bowl last season). Tomorrow, the AFC.
NFC East
Washington 3-1 PF 83 PA 63 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: With the problematic Albert Haynesworth gone to the Patriots and the QB drama around Donovan McNabb the Vikings problem, the Redskins are looking great. But there are some issues. While they're win over the Giants is their best yet, they average 3.5 points better than their last 3 games. Despite being 2-1 over that time, their opponents are a combined 3-9. As long as Rex Grossman can improve on his 989 passing yards , 6 TDs without throwing 5 INTs, he should do just fine with the arsenal he has. And with London Fletcher leading the defense, the playoff race is bound to be interesting.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, PHI (1-3), @CAR (1-3), @ BUF (3-1)
What to expect: Be wary of the Eagles. Forget the fact that they are struggling right now. It's a division game and we all know what happens with those. Remember the 59-28 beat down last year at home? Yeah, just be careful of that wounded animal. As far as the Panthers and Bills are concerned, this could be a tough 2nd quarter for the Skins to come.
NY Giants 3-1 PF 102 PA 87 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: Despite the loss opening weekend to the Redskins 28-14, the G-Men have bounced back with 3 straight wins. Eli Manning's 105.6 QBR, along with the defense forcing 6 fumbles (recovering 4) has the New York area hoping for a deep run in the postseason in the near future. Hopefully they will not have a late season collapse like they did in 2009, but you never really know the way this season has gone.
Next 4 weeks: SEA (1-3), BUF (3-1), BYE, MIA (0-4)
What to expect: The Seahawks look easy, but the G-Men can take it to them (assuming they take the Hawks seriously). The new look Bills will be looking for Super Bowl revenge (Super Bowl XXV). Just don't be surprised to see a couple of losses in the next quarter. Especially against the winless Dolphins.
Dallas 2-2 PF 99 PA 101 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: Let's face it, the Cowboys should be 4-0. We can harp on Tony Romo's 4th quarter ineffectiveness all day, but let's not repeat that same old song. In spite of offensive and defensive miscues, the Boys should be happy just to be at .500. The comebacks are not just the quarterback's fault, this is a team game after all. Hope things look better in the 2nd quarter of the season.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @NE (3-1), STL (0-4), @PHI (1-3)
What to expect: If you think that the next two games after the Patriots are a cake walk, think again. If the 4th quarter woes continue... you think Jerry Jones will be looking to Andrew Luck??
Philadelphia 1-3 PF 101 PA 101 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3
Analysis: What's up with the "dream team"? Ever since Michael Vick's return to Atlanta, the Eagles have struggled to say the least. Despite outgaining the opposition 1336-1094, they have managed to commit 3 turnovers (5 INTs, 4 Lost Fumbles) each of those games. Is it time to panic in the City of Brotherly Love? It's a long season, so don't call them a bust just yet.
Next 4 weeks: @BUF (3-1), @WAS (3-1), BYE, DAL (2-2)
What to expect: The Bills game should be a defining game that should supposedly swing the momentum back to the wins column. But their next two divisional opponents are going to be the real test. Don't let the record fool you, this Eagle team could be back on the rise.
NFC North
Detroit 4-0 PF 135 PA 76 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0
Analysis: People have been saying all along that if Matthew Stafford stays healthy, then watch out for the Lions. Even though they were outscored 40-3 in the 1st half in their last two contests, they've outscored the Vikings and Cowboys 57-13 afterwards. Could they go to 16-0 after going 0-16 3 years ago? That would be one hell of a story. Especially since the Tigers are back in the postseason.
Next 4 weeks: CHI (2-2), SF (3-1), ATL (2-2), @DEN (1-3)
What to expect: Just because their next three are at home doesn't mean it's easy. Especially with the Bears. It's a division game, which means that all the numbers don't matter. The 49ers and Falcons are no pushovers either. And if the Broncos actually show up to the game, this could be an interesting next quarter.
Green Bay 4-0 PF 148 PA 97 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0
Analysis: The defending champs are just dominating. Aaron Rodgers ranks 1st in completion percentage (73.1%) and QBR (124.6) while the tandem of James Starks/Ryan Grant average around 4.8 ypc (77 carries). The defense has been great forcing the opposition to turn the ball over 11 times is saying a lot.
Next 4 weeks: @ATL (2-2), STL (0-4), MIN (0-4), BYE
What to expect: At this rate, it may be a while until they lose. The champs are looking good so far. But if I were the Pack, I'd be weary of the Vikings. Just saying.
Chicago 2-2 PF 94 PA 98 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Now that Mike Martz's play calling authority stripped, the Bears offense can find some balance. In their first three games managed to run the ball 51 times for a grand total of 161 yards. Against the Panthers on Sunday, 31 carries 224 yards. Looks like Jay Cutler might have a chance to play the whole season after all. But the fact that the defense has given up over 24 points a game is a serious concern. Especially for Lovie Smith and his job status.
Next 4 weeks: @DET (4-0), MIN (0-4), @TB(3-1), BYE
What to expect: The next two divisional games will be interesting to see. But I'm interested to see how the offense performs over the next three weeks without Martz and what changes the defense are going to make to improve their playoff odds.
Minnesota 0-4 PF 77 PA 96 Div 0-1 Conf 0-2
Analysis: Even with the changes in personnel, looks like the same ole Vikings team from last year. To be fair they started 1-3, only to finish with a terrible 6-10. Or maybe Donovan McNabb can get his act together and string 12 wins in a row. Not likely to happen, but miracles do happen. Even though the Purple People Eaters win the first half with a score of 61-16, the second half and beyond has been an awful 80-16. Remember, there are two halves to a football game.
Next 4 weeks: ARI (1-3), @CHI (2-2), GB (4-0), @CAR (1-3)
What to expect: If the Vikings can play with some passion and finish off opponents, they could break even by the 2nd quarter. The Cardinals should be easy, but not to be taken too lightly either. They'll have their work cut out for them against the Bears and Packers. The battle between McNabb (or Christian Ponder) and Cam Newton should be fun to watch.
NFC South
Tampa Bay 3-1 PF 84 PA 77 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: If Josh Freeman's first Monday Night game (25-39, 314 total YDS, 2 TDS (1 rushing)) wasn't any indication that the Buccaneers are for real, think again. The fact last year was no fluke is proving to be true. Especially with how young their roster is (only two players over the age of 30), this could be a dangerous team now and in the future to come.
Next 4 weeks: @SF (3-1), NO(3-1), CHI (2-2), BYE
What to expect: We'll have to wait to see what the Bucs can do on short rest when they face the 49ers. Assuming everything goes well, the Saints game will be real fun to watch. Not sure how the Bears D' will handle Freeman, LeGarrette Blount, Preston Parker, Kellen Winslow and the rest of this promising offense.
New Orleans 3-1 PF 127 PA 98 Div 0-0 Conf 1-1
Analysis: It looks like the Saints could be marching into the playoffs for the 3rd straight season. But when it comes down to facing teams that are above .500, they've allowed 75 points. Their lone win was against Houston at home 40-33 in week 3. As far as I'm concerned, the Saints still have Drew Brees at the helm (QBR 102.9), and the tandem of Mark Ingram/Pierre Thomas/Darren Sproles rushing for a combined 454 yards (over 95% of their rushing) to get them in good position to win. The defense will have to step it up if the Saints are going to make a significant playoff run.
Next 4 weeks: @CAR (1-3), @TB (3-1), IND (0-4), @STL (0-4)
What to expect: The next 2 on the road at their divisional rivals is going to be a challenge. Especially with Cam Newton and Josh Freeman doing good in their own right. Don't count the Colts or Rams for that matter. Nothing comes easy these days.
Atlanta 2-2 PF 90 PA 105 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Don't let the numbers fool you, the Falcons are still a good team. Despite the -15 point differential, they are 11th in passing yards (260.5 ypg) and 10th in rush defense (97.3 ypc). They've hadn't produced a consistent winning yet. Maybe Falcons should face teams that have a bird in their logo, they are 2-0 against them right now.
Next 4 weeks: GB (4-0), CAR (1-3), @DET (4-0), BYE
What to expect: If things keep going the way they are, you can expect the Falcons to go 1-2. Again, the defense will need to step it up to have a chance to make this an undefeated 2nd quarter of the season.
Carolina 1-3 PF 89 PA 102 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3
Analysis: Despite the team record, Cam Newton looks like an early favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year (97-163 1386 yards 5 touchdowns passing, 133 yards and 4 touchdowns rushing). But the Panthers are 31st in rushing defense (143.8 ypc). After a disappointing year last season, it might take some time for new coach Ron Rivera to turn them into winners this time around.
Next 4 weeks: NO (3-1), @ATL (2-2), WAS (3-1), MIN (0-4)
What to expect: This is basically a new team. It wouldn't be a surprise if the split these next 4 games, but don't count on it. As long as Newton doesn't hit that rookie wall, you can expect some more W's in their future.
NFC West
San Francisco 3-1 PF 94 PA 75 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1
Analysis: If you think it's a miracle that the 49ers are in 1st place, then you wouldn't be wrong. New coach Jim Harbaugh has gotten the best out of his talent. Even though the offense is 29th in passing yards (177.5) and 22nd in rushing yards (93.3), the defense has kept them in games. With the NFC West looking like they are going to be a weak division once again, the Niners look like they might be able to get away with that.
Next 4 weeks: TB (3-1), @DET (4-0), BYE, CLE (2-2)
What to expect: All that can be said is that there are going to be tough times ahead. But if they continue their play on defense and get their offensive numbers up... can someone say playoffs?
Seattle 1-3 PF 58 PA 97 Div 1-1 Conf 1-2
Analysis: If the Seahawks think they can go 7-9 and make it to the playoffs, think again. Pete Carroll and the Hawks will need the 12th Man at CenturyLink Field and a much improved offense (28th in passing (186.5 yds) and 31st in rushing (67.5 yds)) to make a second consecutive play appearance under Carroll.
Next 4 weeks: @NYG (3-1), BYE, @CLE (2-2), CIN (2-2)
What to expect: After their near comeback versus the Falcons last week, who really knows what Seahawk team is going to show up. Going up to Cleveland to face against old boss Mike Holmgren's team should be interesting.
Arizona 1-3 PF 86 PA 87 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3
Analysis: Looks like the Kevin Kolb trade is paying off. Yes, he thrown 4 interceptions, but his 80-130 1049 yards and 5 touchdowns have not hurt the Cardinals at all. 23 of those completions have gone to Larry Fitzgerald with 2 of them going for touchdowns. So why are the football Red Birds 2 games under .500? Being 26th in passing defense (282.2 yards) could be it.
Next 4 weeks: @MIN (0-4), BYE, PIT (2-2), @BAL (3-1)
What to expect: If the Vikings can figure out how to close out a game, the Cardinals could be 1-6. And that's factoring if the Steelers O-Line holds true and the Ravens stay consistent. Other than that, don't hold your breath Cardinal fans.
St. Louis 0-4 PF 46 PA 113 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3
Analysis: Looks like the Rams are going through a sophomore slump with Sam Bradford under center this season (2-2 last season). They finally had a decent outing against the Redskins losing by 7. But their first 3, they lost by an average of 20 points. Something's gotta give.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @GB (4-0), @DAL (2-2), NO (3-1)
What to expect: If Bradford can get back to 100% and the anemic offense and defense can get their act together, expect some upsets. They have the talent and they have the depth, it's time for some winning to occur.
And you can follow both posts on Twitter. Follow @the_rtp_blog
NFC East
Washington 3-1 PF 83 PA 63 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: With the problematic Albert Haynesworth gone to the Patriots and the QB drama around Donovan McNabb the Vikings problem, the Redskins are looking great. But there are some issues. While they're win over the Giants is their best yet, they average 3.5 points better than their last 3 games. Despite being 2-1 over that time, their opponents are a combined 3-9. As long as Rex Grossman can improve on his 989 passing yards , 6 TDs without throwing 5 INTs, he should do just fine with the arsenal he has. And with London Fletcher leading the defense, the playoff race is bound to be interesting.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, PHI (1-3), @CAR (1-3), @ BUF (3-1)
What to expect: Be wary of the Eagles. Forget the fact that they are struggling right now. It's a division game and we all know what happens with those. Remember the 59-28 beat down last year at home? Yeah, just be careful of that wounded animal. As far as the Panthers and Bills are concerned, this could be a tough 2nd quarter for the Skins to come.
NY Giants 3-1 PF 102 PA 87 Div 1-1 Conf 3-1
Analysis: Despite the loss opening weekend to the Redskins 28-14, the G-Men have bounced back with 3 straight wins. Eli Manning's 105.6 QBR, along with the defense forcing 6 fumbles (recovering 4) has the New York area hoping for a deep run in the postseason in the near future. Hopefully they will not have a late season collapse like they did in 2009, but you never really know the way this season has gone.
Next 4 weeks: SEA (1-3), BUF (3-1), BYE, MIA (0-4)
What to expect: The Seahawks look easy, but the G-Men can take it to them (assuming they take the Hawks seriously). The new look Bills will be looking for Super Bowl revenge (Super Bowl XXV). Just don't be surprised to see a couple of losses in the next quarter. Especially against the winless Dolphins.
Dallas 2-2 PF 99 PA 101 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: Let's face it, the Cowboys should be 4-0. We can harp on Tony Romo's 4th quarter ineffectiveness all day, but let's not repeat that same old song. In spite of offensive and defensive miscues, the Boys should be happy just to be at .500. The comebacks are not just the quarterback's fault, this is a team game after all. Hope things look better in the 2nd quarter of the season.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @NE (3-1), STL (0-4), @PHI (1-3)
What to expect: If you think that the next two games after the Patriots are a cake walk, think again. If the 4th quarter woes continue... you think Jerry Jones will be looking to Andrew Luck??
Philadelphia 1-3 PF 101 PA 101 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3
Analysis: What's up with the "dream team"? Ever since Michael Vick's return to Atlanta, the Eagles have struggled to say the least. Despite outgaining the opposition 1336-1094, they have managed to commit 3 turnovers (5 INTs, 4 Lost Fumbles) each of those games. Is it time to panic in the City of Brotherly Love? It's a long season, so don't call them a bust just yet.
Next 4 weeks: @BUF (3-1), @WAS (3-1), BYE, DAL (2-2)
What to expect: The Bills game should be a defining game that should supposedly swing the momentum back to the wins column. But their next two divisional opponents are going to be the real test. Don't let the record fool you, this Eagle team could be back on the rise.
NFC North
Detroit 4-0 PF 135 PA 76 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0
Analysis: People have been saying all along that if Matthew Stafford stays healthy, then watch out for the Lions. Even though they were outscored 40-3 in the 1st half in their last two contests, they've outscored the Vikings and Cowboys 57-13 afterwards. Could they go to 16-0 after going 0-16 3 years ago? That would be one hell of a story. Especially since the Tigers are back in the postseason.
Next 4 weeks: CHI (2-2), SF (3-1), ATL (2-2), @DEN (1-3)
What to expect: Just because their next three are at home doesn't mean it's easy. Especially with the Bears. It's a division game, which means that all the numbers don't matter. The 49ers and Falcons are no pushovers either. And if the Broncos actually show up to the game, this could be an interesting next quarter.
Green Bay 4-0 PF 148 PA 97 Div 1-0 Conf 3-0
Analysis: The defending champs are just dominating. Aaron Rodgers ranks 1st in completion percentage (73.1%) and QBR (124.6) while the tandem of James Starks/Ryan Grant average around 4.8 ypc (77 carries). The defense has been great forcing the opposition to turn the ball over 11 times is saying a lot.
Next 4 weeks: @ATL (2-2), STL (0-4), MIN (0-4), BYE
What to expect: At this rate, it may be a while until they lose. The champs are looking good so far. But if I were the Pack, I'd be weary of the Vikings. Just saying.
Chicago 2-2 PF 94 PA 98 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Now that Mike Martz's play calling authority stripped, the Bears offense can find some balance. In their first three games managed to run the ball 51 times for a grand total of 161 yards. Against the Panthers on Sunday, 31 carries 224 yards. Looks like Jay Cutler might have a chance to play the whole season after all. But the fact that the defense has given up over 24 points a game is a serious concern. Especially for Lovie Smith and his job status.
Next 4 weeks: @DET (4-0), MIN (0-4), @TB(3-1), BYE
What to expect: The next two divisional games will be interesting to see. But I'm interested to see how the offense performs over the next three weeks without Martz and what changes the defense are going to make to improve their playoff odds.
Minnesota 0-4 PF 77 PA 96 Div 0-1 Conf 0-2
Analysis: Even with the changes in personnel, looks like the same ole Vikings team from last year. To be fair they started 1-3, only to finish with a terrible 6-10. Or maybe Donovan McNabb can get his act together and string 12 wins in a row. Not likely to happen, but miracles do happen. Even though the Purple People Eaters win the first half with a score of 61-16, the second half and beyond has been an awful 80-16. Remember, there are two halves to a football game.
Next 4 weeks: ARI (1-3), @CHI (2-2), GB (4-0), @CAR (1-3)
What to expect: If the Vikings can play with some passion and finish off opponents, they could break even by the 2nd quarter. The Cardinals should be easy, but not to be taken too lightly either. They'll have their work cut out for them against the Bears and Packers. The battle between McNabb (or Christian Ponder) and Cam Newton should be fun to watch.
NFC South
Tampa Bay 3-1 PF 84 PA 77 Div 1-0 Conf 2-1
Analysis: If Josh Freeman's first Monday Night game (25-39, 314 total YDS, 2 TDS (1 rushing)) wasn't any indication that the Buccaneers are for real, think again. The fact last year was no fluke is proving to be true. Especially with how young their roster is (only two players over the age of 30), this could be a dangerous team now and in the future to come.
Next 4 weeks: @SF (3-1), NO(3-1), CHI (2-2), BYE
What to expect: We'll have to wait to see what the Bucs can do on short rest when they face the 49ers. Assuming everything goes well, the Saints game will be real fun to watch. Not sure how the Bears D' will handle Freeman, LeGarrette Blount, Preston Parker, Kellen Winslow and the rest of this promising offense.
New Orleans 3-1 PF 127 PA 98 Div 0-0 Conf 1-1
Analysis: It looks like the Saints could be marching into the playoffs for the 3rd straight season. But when it comes down to facing teams that are above .500, they've allowed 75 points. Their lone win was against Houston at home 40-33 in week 3. As far as I'm concerned, the Saints still have Drew Brees at the helm (QBR 102.9), and the tandem of Mark Ingram/Pierre Thomas/Darren Sproles rushing for a combined 454 yards (over 95% of their rushing) to get them in good position to win. The defense will have to step it up if the Saints are going to make a significant playoff run.
Next 4 weeks: @CAR (1-3), @TB (3-1), IND (0-4), @STL (0-4)
What to expect: The next 2 on the road at their divisional rivals is going to be a challenge. Especially with Cam Newton and Josh Freeman doing good in their own right. Don't count the Colts or Rams for that matter. Nothing comes easy these days.
Atlanta 2-2 PF 90 PA 105 Div 0-1 Conf 2-2
Analysis: Don't let the numbers fool you, the Falcons are still a good team. Despite the -15 point differential, they are 11th in passing yards (260.5 ypg) and 10th in rush defense (97.3 ypc). They've hadn't produced a consistent winning yet. Maybe Falcons should face teams that have a bird in their logo, they are 2-0 against them right now.
Next 4 weeks: GB (4-0), CAR (1-3), @DET (4-0), BYE
What to expect: If things keep going the way they are, you can expect the Falcons to go 1-2. Again, the defense will need to step it up to have a chance to make this an undefeated 2nd quarter of the season.
Carolina 1-3 PF 89 PA 102 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3
Analysis: Despite the team record, Cam Newton looks like an early favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year (97-163 1386 yards 5 touchdowns passing, 133 yards and 4 touchdowns rushing). But the Panthers are 31st in rushing defense (143.8 ypc). After a disappointing year last season, it might take some time for new coach Ron Rivera to turn them into winners this time around.
Next 4 weeks: NO (3-1), @ATL (2-2), WAS (3-1), MIN (0-4)
What to expect: This is basically a new team. It wouldn't be a surprise if the split these next 4 games, but don't count on it. As long as Newton doesn't hit that rookie wall, you can expect some more W's in their future.
NFC West
San Francisco 3-1 PF 94 PA 75 Div 1-0 Conf 3-1
Analysis: If you think it's a miracle that the 49ers are in 1st place, then you wouldn't be wrong. New coach Jim Harbaugh has gotten the best out of his talent. Even though the offense is 29th in passing yards (177.5) and 22nd in rushing yards (93.3), the defense has kept them in games. With the NFC West looking like they are going to be a weak division once again, the Niners look like they might be able to get away with that.
Next 4 weeks: TB (3-1), @DET (4-0), BYE, CLE (2-2)
What to expect: All that can be said is that there are going to be tough times ahead. But if they continue their play on defense and get their offensive numbers up... can someone say playoffs?
Seattle 1-3 PF 58 PA 97 Div 1-1 Conf 1-2
Analysis: If the Seahawks think they can go 7-9 and make it to the playoffs, think again. Pete Carroll and the Hawks will need the 12th Man at CenturyLink Field and a much improved offense (28th in passing (186.5 yds) and 31st in rushing (67.5 yds)) to make a second consecutive play appearance under Carroll.
Next 4 weeks: @NYG (3-1), BYE, @CLE (2-2), CIN (2-2)
What to expect: After their near comeback versus the Falcons last week, who really knows what Seahawk team is going to show up. Going up to Cleveland to face against old boss Mike Holmgren's team should be interesting.
Arizona 1-3 PF 86 PA 87 Div 0-1 Conf 1-3
Analysis: Looks like the Kevin Kolb trade is paying off. Yes, he thrown 4 interceptions, but his 80-130 1049 yards and 5 touchdowns have not hurt the Cardinals at all. 23 of those completions have gone to Larry Fitzgerald with 2 of them going for touchdowns. So why are the football Red Birds 2 games under .500? Being 26th in passing defense (282.2 yards) could be it.
Next 4 weeks: @MIN (0-4), BYE, PIT (2-2), @BAL (3-1)
What to expect: If the Vikings can figure out how to close out a game, the Cardinals could be 1-6. And that's factoring if the Steelers O-Line holds true and the Ravens stay consistent. Other than that, don't hold your breath Cardinal fans.
St. Louis 0-4 PF 46 PA 113 Div 0-0 Conf 0-3
Analysis: Looks like the Rams are going through a sophomore slump with Sam Bradford under center this season (2-2 last season). They finally had a decent outing against the Redskins losing by 7. But their first 3, they lost by an average of 20 points. Something's gotta give.
Next 4 weeks: BYE, @GB (4-0), @DAL (2-2), NO (3-1)
What to expect: If Bradford can get back to 100% and the anemic offense and defense can get their act together, expect some upsets. They have the talent and they have the depth, it's time for some winning to occur.
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